Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

As the author of Theories of International Politics and Zombies, I want to make it absolutely clear that I have absolutely nothing to do with this: 

But, based on Al Qaeda's current capabilities, I'm beginning to think that this is their best chance for revival.

EXPLORE:PERSONAL, HUMOR, ZOMBIES

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest Bloggingheads diavlog is with NSN's Heather Hurlburt.  We discuss Greece, Palestinian recognition, and the state of the foreign policy debate among the GOP 2012 candidates. 

Given those topics, be warned:  I might have been liberal in my use of profanity in the diavlog below.

 

Enjoy!

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Your humble blogger is typing these words in Seattle.  I'll be presenting tomorrow on Theories of International Politics and Zombies at ZomBcon 2011

[Um... does tha fact alone merit a blog post?--ed.]  Good point.  There are two other zombie-and-me events this week. 

From 7-9 PM EST this Wednesday, I'll be the "Expert to Discuss How Theories of International Relations Could Salvage Humanity from Global Zombie Apocalypse" according to this press release.   That's because I'll be delivering the Centre for International Governance Innovation's Signature Lecture on Zombies, the G20 and International Governance in Waterloo, Canada.  Not any old zombie lecture -- the signature one.  If you don't live in Waterloo, don't worry, you can sign up for the free, live webcast of the lecture

As a warm-up for that lecture, however, might I suggest, the night before, watching Zombies: A Living History.  It will be aired on the History Channel on Tuesday, October 25, at 8 PM.  The filmmakers interviewed me for half a day, so I'll pop up now and again. 

Here's the extended trailer:

 

Enjoy your weekend! 

I was all set this morning to blog more about high-falutin' theoretical IR debates or what's happening in Libya or whether Hugo Chavez can really move all of his gold without these guys somehow stealing it, when, well.... this happened: 

Hurricane Irene

So instead, today your humble blogger was busy stockpiling supplies like vodka fresh water, whiskey, batteries, bourbon, dry goods, etc. 

This might seem like an overreaction, and hopefully, it will be.  However, I learned a valuable lesson from the last time I labeled an event like this as "hurricane porn."  Never again will I trivialize hurricane warnings.  Even if, nine times out of ten, a hurricane/tropical storm/tropical depression turns out to be less than advertised, there is that one time that the worst case scenario nis actually realized.  And in that event, better to be prepared than not. 

Of course, the problem with this approach is that after each iteration in which a natural disaster warning does not come to fruition, one is  tempted to be more blasé about the next one.  It's the meteorilogical equivalent of festering foreign policy problems -- unless and until a slow-motion problem becomes an acute crisis, attention will not be paid. 

Still, on a day when parts of New York are being evacuated, I am grateful that this is unlikely to happen: 

 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest diavlog is with Mother Jones' Adam Weinstein to talk about... er... yes, Theories of International Politics and Zombies

[We're walking away now.--ed.]  No, wait!!  This diavlog is worth watching for two reasons:

1)  It has, hands down, the most awesome opening of any Bloggingheads diavlog in history.  Really.  I'm not exaggerating. 

2)  There's a prize for watching it!  Hidden in the diavlog are five different images from well-known zombie features (four movies, one TV show). The first Bloggingheads fan to correctly identify when those zombie scenes appear in the diavlog and from what movie or TV show they were taken, gets a copy of my book. For a chance to win: send an email to bloggingheadszombiehunt@gmail.com. In the body of your email, include a link to this diavog blog post, the five different times (minute and second) in the diavlog when the zombie images appear, and the movie/show from where the images were taken. Contest ends at midnight on March 1, 2011.

So, watch carefully, keep an axe nearby, and enjoy! 

 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

This week I'll be media whoring talking about Theories of International Politics and Zombies in a lot of venues.  For example, I have an essay in the Chronicle of Higher Education about what it was like to write a book about the living dead.  Here's the opening paragraph:

Regardless of what parents tell their children, books are routinely judged by their covers. Indeed, many book titles encapsulate a premise so obvious that the text itself seems superfluous. I'm talking about the literary equivalents of Hot Tub Time Machine or Aliens vs. Predator. I should know­—I'm the author of Theories of International Politics and Zombies.

In the interest of getting Media Whore Week off to a good start, here's a brief rundown of reviews so far. 

Publisher's Weekly:

[A]n intriguing intellectual conceit to explain various schools of international political theory…. Drezner is fascinated with zombies–he’s seen all the movies and read the books–and writes with clarity, insight, and wit…. This slim book is an imaginative and very helpful way to introduce its subject–who knew international relations could be this much fun?

Scott McLemee, Inside Higher Ed:

Whatever else it may be, an attack by bloodthirsty ghouls offers a teachable moment. And Drezner, who is a professor of international politics at Tufts University, does not waste it. Besides offering a condensed and accessible survey of how various schools of international-relations theory would respond, he reviews the implications of a zombie crisis for a nation’s internal politics and its psychosocial impact. He also considers the role of standard bureaucratic dynamics on managing the effects of relentless insurgency by the living dead. While a quick and entertaining read, Theories of International Politics and Zombies is a useful introductory textbook on public policy — as well as a definitive monograph for the field of zombie studies….  I can’t recommend it highly enough.

Josh Rothman, The Boston Globe

Political science isn’t really a science at all – it’s more like a collection of disparate and even contradictory world-views.  Daniel Drezner… has hit upon the perfect way to weigh those world-views against one another…. the detail with which Drezner can apply international political theory to the zombie apocalypse is striking. 

Adam Weinstein, Mother Jones

A light, breezy volume, TIPZ is a valuable primer in international relations theory for laypeople, and thank God for that—it’s been a long time coming. But Drezner’s real genius is that he’s written a stinging postmodern critique of IR theorists themselves…. It’s both a pedagogical text and a lampoon of pedagogy.

All of these reviews raise interesting questions, as does Charli Carpenter's recent post.  I promise a response to these criticisms later in the week (just as soon as I can find Hosni Mubarak's soeechwriter, because that guy was comedy gold)

In the meantime, just buy the friggin' book already. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

For the rest of this week your humble blogger will be on the 2010 leg of his Zombie Talk Tour in support of the forthcoming book.  Talks are scheduled at UC-Irvine and ZomBcon.  That's right, ZomBcon.  

Blogging will be light for the next few days.  Here's a topic for discussion, however.  Apparently, the New York Times' standard operating procedure is to recycle the same story every week about how the U.S. is now lining up allies in the Pacific Rim to ward off a rising China.  The Financial Times is reporting on how the United States is encouraging India to step up inthe region.  Stronger bilateral ties with China's enduring rivals (Japan, Vietnam, India) are simply an ad hoc response to China's recent strategic missteps, however.  Chinese intentions are unclear, and if you read western pundits, there are an array of contradictory recommendations about how to suss them out. 

Question to readers:  if you had to engineer the U.S. strategy in the Pacific Rim, what would you do to deal with a rising China?  In your answer, be sure to acknowledge the risks and costs, as well as the benefits of your strategy. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

If you're a DC reader of this blog, and you have nothing to do between 12:30 and 1:30, well...

The End of America's Global Hegemony: Implications for the Global System
Lecture by Daniel Drezner
 

Date: October 21, 2010
Time: 12:30-1:30

Rome Auditorium
JHU School of Advanced International Studies
1619 Massachusetts Ave NW

Subject: Professor Drezner will be speaking on the implications of a multipolar world where the United States is no longer the sole superpower. Specifically, he will discuss the prospects for global coordination in a world without a dominant power.

 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

I remember a few things about the day of the September 11th attacks. I remember being at Heathrow and wondering why they weren't announcing the gate for my flight. I remember being puzzled why I couldn't complete a transatlantic call when my flight appeared to be delayed. I remember my wife telling me what happened. I remember cursing the fact that I was marooned on another continent on one of the few days when my chosen specialty might have been of some practical use for my wife. And I remember, at some point, telling her, "it could have been worse." 

Because it could have been. United 93 could have hit its intended target instead of having the passengers and crew overwhelm the terrorists. Al Qaeda could have had a second wave of attacks planned. With some imagnation, al Qaeda could have killed a lot more people on that day. 

The other thing I remember in reaction to that day was when it was OK to be funny again.  Many pop culture historians will likely point to the first Saturday Night Live episode featuring Rudy Giuliani -- except that wasn't funny. Slightly more hip pop culture historians  might point to the monologues of either David Letterman or Jon Stewart -- except they weren't funny either. 

No, the first thing that made me laugh after the terrorist attacks  -- and sustained my hope for America -- was The Onion's first post-9/11 issue, from the headline "HOLY F&#KING S*&T" on the front to the television schedule in the back (On NBC at 10: "America's Time Of Trial: Who F**king Wants Some? You? Do You? How 'Bout You?"). Consider just the following list of headlines:

Not Knowing What Else To Do, Woman Bakes American-Flag Cake

Hijackers Surprised To Find Selves In Hell

U.S. Vows To Defeat Whoever It Is We're At War With

American Life Turns Into Bad Jerry Bruckheimer Movie

God Angrily Clarifies 'Don't Kill' Rule

Arab-American Third-Grader Returns From Recess Crying, Saying He Didn't Kill Anyone

President Urges Calm, Restraint Among Nation's Ballad Singers

Jerry Falwell: Is That Guy A Dick Or What?

Rest Of Country Temporarily Feels Deep Affection For New York

Massive Attack On Pentagon Page 14 News

And finally, the headline that has defined U.S. foreign policy debates for the past nine years: 

We Must Retaliate With Blind Rage vs. We Must Retaliate With Measured, Focused Rage

Any country with the capacity for that much self-lacerating humor will be OK in the long run.  So I mean this with all sincerity: that issue of The Onion made me proud to be an American.

Well, that and this Jack Shafer column on why Ground Zero is not hallowed ground

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

I see that, over the weekend, Megan McArdle, Brad DeLong and Tyler Cowen all posted about stuff they've gotten wrong as bloggers.  This is an excellent topic to post about.  Bloggers are supposed to prvide real-time analysis on breaking events -- of course we're going to get a lot of stuff wrong.  As Brad correctly notes: 

f you don't mark your beliefs to market occasionally, and throw out worthless intellectual trash, you ossify--you become one of those demented old coots detached from reality ranting unintelligibly at the moon.

Looking back on my eighth (!!) year of blogging, here are the big things I think I got wrong over the past year: 

1)  The Green Movement did not cause Iran's regime to crack upScore one for the Leveretts -- Iran's regime has effectively silenced the Green movement, without any visible internal cost.  Indeed, the regime now seems entrenched enough so that the fundamentalists and conservatives can now ignore reformists and start turning on each other.  I confess, I though the Ashura protests marked an inflection point on Iran.  Nope.  The regime has suffered some serious costs from its internal repression, but Khamenei ain't going anywhere anytime soon. 

2)  Iceland was willing to pay the price of financial isolation.  I knew that Icelanders were outraged at the notion that they had to help bail out Icesave depositors in England and the Netherlands.  I also thought, however, that when the question was put to a referendum, Icelanders would pause for a moment and consider the ramifications of financial isolation.  Um... whoops

3)  The G-20 was been far less useful than I anticipated.  A year ago at this juncture I was pretty pessimistic about the prospects of G-20 macroeconomic policy coordination.  I was hopeful, however, that the G-20 could function effectively as a mechanism to pressure China into revaluing the yuan. 

And... things are worse on both fronts than I anticipated.  At Toronto, the G-20 encouraged contractionary fiscal policies way too early, helping to push the global economy into double3-dip territory.  On the yuan, China has niminally pledged to let the yuan float, but acual movement has been pretty meager.

It only took me about 15 minutes to come up with this short list.  I hereby invite and encourage all commenters to root through the archives to find other screw-ups. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Your humble blogger was all prepared to be diligent, posting even while on a brief vacation.  However, after three days in a spectacular Europeal locale that will go unnamed oh, I'll fess up, I'm in Florence, I'm afraid that I've eaten too much fabulous pasta to give a damn about blogging Eurosclerosis has overtaken my Yankee work ethic. 

Active blogging will resume on Thursday.  In the meantime, commenters are heartily encouraged to suggest future blogging topics.  I'm well aware that I've harped a bit on macroeconomic imbalances, sanctions and zombies as of late.  I'd be happy to blog about other trouble spots (Kyrgyzstan, Thailand) other trends (Facebook overtaking Google), events (criminals going free) or whatnot.

But you'll have to take the zombies away from my cold, undead hands -- got it? 

Ciao!! 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is up, with UMass Amherst's Charli Carpenter.  We talk about what's going to happen and what should happen on the Korean peninsula (click here for more on Carpenter's take), the National Security Strategy, and whether it's OK to target Americans overseas. 

Here's a fun exercise -- see if you can detect the moment when Charli and I switch hawk and dove positions.  It's a tricky maneuver!   

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog, with NSN's Heather Hulburt, is now online.  We discuss the Academy and the academy -- that is to say, the Oscars and the policy relevance of that "other" academy. 

Enjoy! 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Your humble blogger will be MIA for the next few days, as he is attending the annual meeting of the Japanese Association of International Relations in Kobe, Japan for the next few days. 

Let me assure my readers that my decision to flee leave the country has nothing whatsoever to do with recent events.  It's just a very, very, very, very happy coincidence. 

While I'm gone, let me recomend reading Evan Feigenbaum's new Council on Foreign Relations report, "The United States in the New Asia."  I'll certainly be reading it on the flight.  The latest issue of The National Interest is also worth a gander. 

And now a request from my readers -- what's worth reading that I haven't commented on?  In other words, what should I be reading? 

 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog with with Reihan Salam of the New America Foundation.  As it's the anniversary of Lehman going under, we talk about the political economy of the financial crisis, Ben Bernanke, the future of trade, and the future more generally:

 

Go check it out

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is with David Frum.  We discuss the situations in Iran and North Korea, and whether John Bolton is the Glenn Beck of U.S. foreign policy. 

 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads with Matthew Yglesias is up.  Topics discussed include Obama's first month, why less earmarks means more grandiose slabs of pork, and how to do an end-run around Hugo Chavez. 

Go check it out

As the moment of the inauguration approaches today, my mind keeps traveling back to an argument I had when I was a second year in college. 

In a political science course, I got into a disagreement with a guest lecturer from the local peace and justice center, who was leading a discussion on the future of race relations.  I remember her asking me, as a way of demonstrating the abject lack of progress in race relations, whether I thought there would be a black president in my lifetime.  The tone of her question radiated the sense that, unless I answered "no," I was a naive fool who understood little about America. 

And, of course, I said "yes" -- not because I was trying to be contrarian, but because I genuinely believed it to be true.  I remember her shaking her head sadly from side to side and smiling ruefully.  I bet Mark Penn shook his head the same way early last year.   

I hope, when Obama is sworn in, that she's smiling for a different reason.   

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Loyal readers of foreignpolicy.com can hear the dulcimer dulcet tones of your humble blogger's voice at two different venues today. 

First, I had a commentary on Obama's leadership style on NPR's Marketplace today.  The key, hopeful paragraph: 

With markets and politicians in a state of panic, Obama has demonstrated that he appreciates the gravity of the situation but will not be overwhelmed by it. Even more encouraging is Obama's ability to understand and explain contending points of view. If Obama can show his cabinet that he has truly heard their views, they will be more willing to support him, even if he goes in another direction. By encouraging debate without alienating his team of egos, Barack Obama might just plug the leadership gap.

I also participated in a bloggingheads.tv diavlog with Rosa Brooks.  Many topics were discussed, including the utility of special envoys, the transition period, Bono, the Middle East, Joe the Plumber, and whether Rosa will be attending an inaugural ball (if you click here, you will, in fact, here me say "Bibbidy bobbedy boo").   

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

This blog has been silent about Caroline Kennedy's shadow campaign for a Senate appointment, mostly because he was convinced that this was just some effort by karma to tap dance on those partisans who took too much glee mocking the qualifications of Sarah Palin.  As someone who thought Palin was unqualified for VP-dom and thinks Kennedy is unqualified for the Senate, I nevertheless feel a massive twinge of sympathy for Caroline Kennedy after her New York Times interviewSeveral media outlets are mocking her verbal tic of saying "you know" a lot in that interview.  Longtime watchers of my bloggingheads and other media appearances are well aware that I've owned that tic for several years now.  That's my thing.  That I do.  When I'm formulating what I am about to say.  When a live mic is close by.  Anything Kennedy can do to make it acceptable to the mainstream would be good for my media whoredom, and therefore a Manifestly Good Thing for the Republic. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

If you had asked me to come up, in my head, with the perfect embodiment of a rabbi, I would have thought of Arnold Wolf.  He was the rabbi emeritus at KAM Isaiah Israel synagogue in Hyde Park, and one of the most interesting individuals I have ever met.  As reporters began covering Hyde Park during the Obama campaign, they found Wolf worth quoting at length. Rabbi Wolf was always able to combine his formidable erudition with a genuine curiosity about the opinions of other people, making him the perfect rabbi for the university community of Hyde Park.  He flattered me as an early reader of this blog.  Some of the my most pleasant interactions in Chicago were random encounters with him on the street.  He simultaneously rekindled my interest in Judaism and ruined me for other rabbis.   Earlier this week, Arnold Wolf passed away.  The Chicago Tribune has his obituary.  He will be missed.  UPDATE:  President-elect Obama issued a statement on Rabbi Wolf's passing
I am deeply saddened to learn of the passing of Rabbi Arnold Jacob Wolf, who was not just our neighbor, but a dear friend to Michelle and me. We are joined in this time of grief by the entire Hyde Park community, the American Jewish Community, and all those who shared Rabbi Wolf's passion for learning and profound commitment to serving others. Our thoughts and prayers are with his family. Throughout Chicago and in Jewish homes and classrooms across our country, Rabbi Wolf's name is synonymous with service, social action and the possibility of change. He will be remembered as a loving husband and father, an engaging teacher, a kindhearted shepherd for the K.A.M. Isaiah community, and a tireless advocate of peace for the United States, Israel and the world.
I have been blogging at danieldrezner.com for 5+ years now, and it has been a wonderful ride.  When I look back on this half-decade, I think of the good times, like when I cussed out James Lileks, or when I corrected Matt Stoller, or I adapted A Few Good Men to explain pork-barrel spending, or my DC potboiler written in the jargon of IR theory, or [I think they get the point--ed.  Really, I'm almost done!]  or what Junior Soprano and the G-20 have in common.  Hell, this blog has outlasted the birth, life and death of TimesSelect.  But five years in the blogosphere is a looooooong time.  So, as of January 4th, 2009, this blog as you know it will cease to exist.  Gone.  Kaput.  Goodbye, farewell, and amen.....  ...because on January 5th, danieldrezner.com will be relocated to Foreign Policy's website at foreignpolicy.com!  That's right, I'm officially selling out!!    Now, in light of some recent developments in the blogosphere, I can imagine that longtime readers of this blog will be curious about what this means.  So, just to be clear:  I will continue to be the sole editor of my blog.  When I want to post something, it's going up -- there are no other filters here.  To put this in blunt blogspeak terms -- if either Jennifer Palmieri or David Kuo goes anywhere near this blog, I'll whack them with a f$%#ing two-by-four.  Seriously, Foreign Policy is not affiliated with any think tank or ideological foundation -- it is now owned and operated by the Washington Post Group (as is Newsweek and Slate).  And I will not be the only person joining Foreign Policy's web team.  Without spilling any secrets, I know some of the other political scientists that Foreign Policy is bringing in after the first of the year, and I've had zero problem disagreeing with them in the past.   Blogging will continue uninterrupted at this site until January 5th, after which all y'all will be re-routed to my new home at Foreign Policy.  Finally, in the only sucking up I plan on doing in public, a big thank you to Moises Naim and the rest of the Foreign Policy crowd for having enough stupidity faith to bring me on board. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Last night Bob Wright and I did an emergency bloggingheads diavlog about yesterday's events.  Click here to check it out.  And, for fun, be sure to check out Bloggingheads' front page -- I've discovered I would not look good as Death. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Last week was this weblog's sixth anniversary.  A lot has happened during this time -- children being born, children growing up, books being written, tenure being denied, promotions being given, baseball teams shocking the world, me turning forty, audiences waxing and waning, etc.  I was going to write a long, contemplative essay on the significance of blogging for this long and how it's changed me.  This is a blog, however.  So, instead, a few bullet points tapped out while everyone else in the house is sleeping:
  • My fastball ain't what it used to be.  Compared to other bloggers I read, I'm not keeping up the pace and depth of my blog posts (sorry about that --fewer free lunches for you!).  This is for a lot of reasons.  First, a lot of top bloggers are professionals -- i.e., they are paid to blog.  It's just really, really tough to compete as a generalist when the division of labor kicks in.*  Second, I have a lot more day job responsibilities than I did in the past, and I'm very comfortable with putting the blog at the bottom of the list.  Third, my children are walking and talking now, which makes them more interesting (and time-consuming).  And fourth....
  • I've screwed up a lot.  There are some big, big issues that I've gotten wrong in my blogging.  I supported the invasion of Iraq and that hasn't gone so well.  I opposed a surge in Iraq and that has turned out better than I thought.  I've gotten a lot of stuff right too, but in my mind the screw-ups are what stand out.  On the other hand, this has been good, because....
  • I'm a bit better at avoiding some blog traps.  Blogs call for instant analysis, but after six years at this I'm concluding that there are times when it's a virtue to not expressing an immediate opinion.  For example, I'm very glad I was too busy to post about the Russian-Georgian conflict when it first broke out.  Why?  Because the immediate blog debate was over who was to blame for the conflict, which was not terribly interesting.  I thought it distracted many from the "what happens now?" questions that are much more salient.  Posting too early can also cause a blogger to lock in their opinions before enough information is on the table (this, by the way, is why I'm holding off on blogging about the bailout -- I need more information). 
  • The blog has been a godsend to my day job.  I've chronicled why here, but the basic point is that all aspects of my job have been facilitated by maintaining this site. 
  • Thanks for the comments!  For six months the comments feature on this blog was broken.  I quite enjoyed that for the first few weeks -- much less energy devoted to dealing with trolls and spam.  Since the new software has been installed, however, I've been enjoying and learning from the downthread discussions.  So thank you, dear readers, for stopping by -- and for coming back. 
*Also, let's face it, if I have any faith in markets I have to presume that professional bloggers possess a comparative advantage in blogging relative to your humble blogger.   

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest commentary for Marketplace looks at Russia, Georgia, and the Golden Arches Theory of Conflict Prevention.  The title says, "Trade may not deter Russia from war," which is technically what I said, though I think my point was more like, "Trade may deter Russia from future war."  Anyway, go check it out -- especially Brits who know how to pronounce Angell's name.  Did I get it right? 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

There was no blogging yesterday because I was in Washington testifying again -- this time at the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Domestic and International Monetary Policy, Trade and Technology.  If you click on the link above, you can access my written testimony, or check out the video, which I think proves beyond a shadow of a doubt that even if fellow witnesses Brad Setser and Edwin Truman are way smarter than me, I'm the better dresser.  Patrick Yoest of the Wall Street Journal's Real-Time Economics blog provides a partial summary (the comments to his post are worth a read for entertainment value alone).  Apparently I said something newsworthy: 
Daniel W. Drezner, a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University, compared the growing role of sovereign wealth funds and foreign investment in the U.S. to the idea of “mutually-assured destruction” between the U.S. and the Soviet Union during the Cold War. “Mutually-assured destruction can mean a more peaceful co-existence, but it’s a relatively nervous co-existence,” Drezner said. Drezner added that while interdependence caused by greater foreign investment in U.S. firms “will constrain U.S. foreign policy,” he said foreign holders of U.S. debt would be unlikely to take drastic actions to hurt the U.S. “They can’t see all of their assets wipe away with the blink of an eye,” Drezner said. “They would be equally devastated.”
One last note -- it's a very strange world we live in when former Fed official Edwin Truman says he agrees with 75% of what renking member Ron Paul says about international monetary policy.
My latest bloggingheads diavlog is with Elvin Lim, who is the author of the very engaging book The Anti-Intellectual Presidency, which hereby receives the official danieldrezner.com endorsement.  Lim's argument, simply put, is that presidential rhetoric has become less intellectually nutritious over time.  The book has some fascinating details, including the following:
  • Using Flesch scores, the two least sophisticated set of presidential papers in the last eighty years are Lyndon Johnson and Bill Clinton -- i.e., they were written at an eleventh-grade reading level (the Bushes finish third and fourth).
  • Using those same Flesch scores, social scientists write denser more sophisticated prose than those in law or the humanities. 
We talk about the state of campaign rhetoric, the state of presidential rhetoric, and the movie Idiocracy (well, I talk about it). Go check it out

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

If you want to know why I've been relatively sanguine about the aftereffects of the Russian-Georgian war, I urge you to click here.  This is very cool -- I didn't even know I was part of a great conspiracy, and yet, here I am, smack dab in the middle of one!  On the upside, it's good to know that I can write a lot about China from here on in.  Meanwhile, Russia's central bank is defending the ruble, an estimated $21 billion left Russia last month ,and the RTS Index has declined by more than seven percent this week.  According to Bloomberg, Russian equities have lost a third of their value in the past two months.  Russia has more than enough spare change lying around to defend the ruble, so no one should be under any illusion that the regime is about to collapse or anything.  And, as I said before, it's not like Georgia has done well for itself during this interlude.  Still, when added to the geopolitical costs, this is a pretty high price to Russia to pay for creating two unrecognized buffer states.  UPDATE:  Reuters reports that, "the defence ministers of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (ODKB) did not follow Russia's lead and recognise South Ossetia and Abkhazia as independent states, leaving Moscow in almost complete international isolation."  Bloomberg has more.  ANOTHER UPDATE:  Now there's photo evidence of the conspiracy.  That would be consistent with this analysis in the Moscow Times:  "we shouldn't blame Medvedev for this, because the fundamental reasons for the global crisis can be found in the inherent confrontational nature of capitalism." 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

In addition to the day job, the blog, the Marketplace commentaries and the occasional essay for Newsweek International, I'm pleased to announce that I am now a Senior Editor for The National Interest -- see, it's on the masthead and everything.  This (not coincidentaly) coincides with the first issue of TNI to be printed under the aegis of new editor-in-chief Justine Rosenthal, who is the most dangerous kind of editor -- the kind who can get me to say yes to stuff.   I mean, there are limits -- if she asked me to write an essay about how Bono is his own superpower, I probably wouldn't do it.  Oh, wait.... Personal biases aside, go check out the latest issue, which is rich with interesting content:  a realist/neocon debate between Stephen Walt and Joshua Muravchik, a review essay on Iraq books by one of Barack Obama's foreign policy advisors on Iraq, and Leslie Gelb's argument for the small-r realists of America to unite.  My favorite essay in this issue, however, is longtime friend-of-danieldrezner.com Amy Zegart's article on George W. Bush's foreign policy legacy.  As much as the Bush administration likes to believes that, over time, they will be viewed like he Truman administration, Zegart sets the historical record straight: 
Harry Truman’s presidency illustrates the lasting impact of first impressions. For many Bush officials, Truman is a comforting role model—another wildly unpopular wartime leader who aimed big and is now viewed as one of the presidential greats. As Rice reflected, “When you’re at the beginning of a big historical transformation, it doesn’t look like you’re doing much right.” Bush himself invoked Truman at his 2006 West Point graduation speech, comparing the struggle against Communism to the war against Islamic radicalism and noting that “Like Americans in Truman’s day, we are laying the foundations for victory.” No one disputes that Bush’s aims are sweeping or that, like Truman, he seeks to transform international relations for a new enemy in a new era. Bush’s second inaugural proclaimed American foreign policy to be nothing less than spreading “democratic movements and institutions in every nation and culture, with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.” The difficulty of the task, he said, “is no excuse for avoiding it.” Ending tyranny would be “the concentrated work of generations.” As Rice noted, the president does not just defend the status quo. When it comes to vindication, however, the Truman parallels fall short. History’s judgment of Harry Truman came early, not late. His greatest cold-war policies were recognized as triumphs from the start, and his failures remain failures to this day. Truman’s March 1947 containment speech to Congress was met with a standing ovation and press reports that instantly hailed it as a historic landmark in U.S. foreign policy. His European economic-recovery program, the Marshall Plan, also attracted widespread public support (thanks in large part to the administration’s own public-relations campaign) and produced impressive and fast results. In 1953, just five years after it began, the Marshall Plan formally ended, Europe was well on its way to economic recovery and Secretary of State George Marshall received the Nobel Peace Prize for his work. At the same time, history has not reversed judgment about Truman’s foreign-policy failures. Nixon may have opened China, but Truman still lost it. For starving North Koreans or anyone who worries about Kim Jong-il’s nuclear weapons and crackpot tendencies, the Korean War is still searching for a happy ending. Truman, like Bush, did face stormy opposition and plummeting public approval during his presidency. But his low popularity had many causes, and foreign policy was not the primary one. Postwar economic reconversion, high taxes, government spending, labor disputes, the firing of General Douglas MacArthur, the anti-Communist hearings of Senator Joseph McCarthy and salacious corruption scandals including influence peddling with fur coats and deep freezers all helped to sour the public’s mood by 1952. In January, Truman’s public disapproval hit a whopping 67 percent, a record surpassed only by the current president. Notably, the same poll asked Americans what they believed were the most important issues in the 1952 presidential election. More said government waste and corruption than the Korean War. Republican Party leaders agreed, ranking corruption and wasteful government spending their top two campaign issues by overwhelming margins in a November 1951 Gallup poll. The Korean War ranked a distant fourth (behind taxes), and other foreign issues were even lower. Domestic policy, not foreign policy, was the administration’s greatest weakness and the Republicans’ best hope. Combating the “mess in Washington” became one of Dwight D. Eisenhower’s central campaign themes. The Republican presidential nominee made headlines and scored one of the biggest ovations of the campaign when he assailed the Truman administration as “barefaced looters” during an Indianapolis stump speech. The notion that Truman was drummed out of office for foreign-policy failures that were subsequently judged successes might be comforting, but it is not correct.
Again, go check it all out.  [Wait, if you're a senior editor, what am I?--ed.  You're the person who should remind me to link to this essay as wellDamn straight!--ed.]

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

I had a bloggingheads diavlog with Bob Kagan on China and the Olympics.  I play the mainstream member of the foreign policy community to Bob's crusading, articulate neoconservative.  My favorite part is when we wander into the abstruse question of how 19th century America viewed Prussia.  Go check it out (for the higlights, check out the New York Times synposis).  There's also another Marketplace commentary.  This one is keyed off of a Boston Globe story from last month on how the Boston Fed is hosting a mortgage counseling session at Gillette Stadium (home of the New England Patriots).  I imagine how such an event would be covered by sports announcers.  Go check it out too

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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