Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Bloggingheads as we know it will be ending with the end of 2011.  My last diavlog, recorded with NSN's Heather Hurlburt, covers our fearless predictions for next year, as well as the dream diplomatic postings both of us desire.  Enjoy! 

 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest Bloggingheads diavlog is with NSN's Heather Hurlburt.  We discuss Greece, Palestinian recognition, and the state of the foreign policy debate among the GOP 2012 candidates. 

Given those topics, be warned:  I might have been liberal in my use of profanity in the diavlog below.

 

Enjoy!

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest diavlog is with Mother Jones' Adam Weinstein to talk about... er... yes, Theories of International Politics and Zombies

[We're walking away now.--ed.]  No, wait!!  This diavlog is worth watching for two reasons:

1)  It has, hands down, the most awesome opening of any Bloggingheads diavlog in history.  Really.  I'm not exaggerating. 

2)  There's a prize for watching it!  Hidden in the diavlog are five different images from well-known zombie features (four movies, one TV show). The first Bloggingheads fan to correctly identify when those zombie scenes appear in the diavlog and from what movie or TV show they were taken, gets a copy of my book. For a chance to win: send an email to bloggingheadszombiehunt@gmail.com. In the body of your email, include a link to this diavog blog post, the five different times (minute and second) in the diavlog when the zombie images appear, and the movie/show from where the images were taken. Contest ends at midnight on March 1, 2011.

So, watch carefully, keep an axe nearby, and enjoy! 

 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Earlier this week Politico's Ben Smith posted about the ways in which speaking fees had altered incentives for politicians and pundits: 

Most of the people you see talking on television or quoted in stories -- who aren't in elected office -- make substantial parts of their livings giving speeches to private groups. Paid speaking, cleaner than lobbying, easier than the practice of law, cleaner than hitting up pension funds, well, safer than graft, has become the primary source of income for a broad range of political figures, beginning with Bill Clinton, who reported $7.5 million from paid speech in 2009.

The high fees for speakers like Clinton, Sarah Palin, and Stanley McChrystal occasionally draw attention, but beneath them are tiers and tiers more, with Harold Ford and Michael Steele, for instance, charging $40,000 for a package deal. 

In that middle tier are commentators like Coulter and high-profile television personalities.  Well down the ladder are journalists, lower-profile politicians, and consultants.

I've been wondering -- and am interested in readers' takes, particularly those in the industry -- how this private economy affects the public politics. For one thing, it provides an incentive for consultants and out-of-work politicians to volunteer themselves to cable television and to make themselves interested and controversial enough to stay on it. (It's a kind of subsidy to cable.) Cable hits are a kind of loss leader on the speaking circuit -- they don't themselves play, but they make a paid speaker more saleable.

In a follow-up post, Smith relayed a media exec's thoughts on the matter:

[I]t's never discussed with any real scrutiny by the mainstream media or Fox because it's bi-partisan. Everyone does it! James Carville. Bill Maher. Hannity. Oliver North. Eugene Robinson. Al Sharpton. Jack Welch. Trent Lott.

Note that academics are so far down the ladder that Smith doesn't even bother to mention them. This does not mean, however, that academics and other members of the foreign-policy community don't get speaking fees. I've seen Fareed Zakaria's quote, and, well, let's just say I've been coping with my own inadequacies at the lectern ever since. 

What does the foreign policy equivalent of Smith's speaker ecosystem -- and how does it affect our analysis?

Well, the foreign policy speaker ecosystem is pretty straightforward and pretty hierarchical:

1) Top tier: former policy principals and mainstream elite pundits. Examples: Colin Powell, Condoleezza Rice, Tom Friedman, Fareed Zakaria, Robert Kagan, etc. These are the people that large associations, private colleges, and consultants with deep pockets will invite to give talks. Payment ranges from high-five figures to low-six figures. 

2) Second tier: Senior think-tankers, former policymakers with views "outside the mainstream", and experts in the topic du jour: Examples: Richard Haass, Carlos Pascual, James Woolsey, and, say, Barnett Rubin if Afghanistan was on everyone's mind. College groups, professional associations, lobbies, and single-issue groups will have these people talk. Payment ranges from high-four figures to middle-five figures. 

3) Third tier: Top tier IR academics, former deputy policymakers, consultants who fancy themselves as deep global strategists, one-shot book-publishing wonders, etc. Examples: Charles Kupchan, Strobe Talbott, Parag Khanna. Foundations, think tanks, some campus groups, and university institutes will invite these speakers. Fees are generally low four figures. 

4) Fourth tier: Assorted crackpots, garden-variety think-tankers, A-list bloggers, and me. Travel, hotel, and something less than $1,000. 

Does this hierarchy affect how foreign-policy analysts write and think? I'm honestly not sure. Cracking the top tier is very difficult, and someone gearing their entire intellectual output towards that goal is more likely to be disappointed than not. Forthermore, the best way to crack that tier is to achieve a related goal, which is a top-tier appointment in an administration. One could argue that this puts constraints on how far outside "mainstream" analysis one can go. 

On the other hand… once one realizes that those A-list appontments ain't going to happen, the incentve structure shifts. After a certain point, becoming an intellectual bomb-thrower can be the quickest route to achieving pecuniary rewards. That said, even in this case one has to have done good work in the past in order to be taken seriously. So, in the foreign-policy ecosystem at least, I'm not sure speaking fees distort policy analysis all that much. 

I'm eager to hear from commenters on this question, however: do you think the growth of outside speaking fees distort incentives within the foreign-policy community? 

Michael Loccisano/Getty Images

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is with National Security Network's Heather Hurlburt.  We talk about the Park51 controversy and its effect on national security, the prospect for direct talks between Israel and Palestine, Iran's nuclear program, and what the hell is going on at the Cato Institute: 

 

Watch the whole thing, but my favorite clip comes at the end, in which Heather and I envisage how VH1 would make a Behind the Think Tanks program sound compelling:  "Against all odds, Heather Hurlburt had achieved influence and gravitas at NSN.  Unfortunately, her addiction to cable TV appearances would also cause her tragic downfall....."

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is with The Atlantic's newly-betrothed Megan McArdle.  The topics covered include Weigelgate, the Rolling Stone story on McChrystal, the Russian spy ring story, whether austerity or deficit spending is the thing to do right now, and the geekiest things we brought on our honeymoons. 

 

 

Enjoy!!

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is up, with UMass Amherst's Charli Carpenter.  We talk about what's going to happen and what should happen on the Korean peninsula (click here for more on Carpenter's take), the National Security Strategy, and whether it's OK to target Americans overseas. 

Here's a fun exercise -- see if you can detect the moment when Charli and I switch hawk and dove positions.  It's a tricky maneuver!   

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

NSN's Heather Hurlburt and I did a bloggingheads diavlog earlier today -- and it's been posted in record time .  Topics include Greece, the European Union, the vagaries of the bond market, my surprising sympathy for Gordon Brown, and the Korea kerfuffle.  Enjoy!

 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

How does your humble blogger engage in debate when he's still coasting on his vacation tan?  Now's the opprtunity to view this natural experiment in the latest bloggingheads diavlog.  Henry Farrell and I debate the foreign policy effects of health care, the U.S.-Israel relationship, the Frumble in the Jungle, the abuse scandals in the Catholic church, and what the hell is happening in the European Union.

 Enjoy!!

[Um... what does Mel Brooks have to do with this?--ed.  Henry said something when we were talking about the Catholic church scandals that reminded me of this.] 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog, with NSN's Heather Hulburt, is now online.  We discuss the Academy and the academy -- that is to say, the Oscars and the policy relevance of that "other" academy. 

Enjoy! 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Megan McArdle and I have a diavlog up at Bloggingheads.tv that is so 2009... mostly because we taped it on the last day or last year.  We discuss the big stuff of the decade -- 9/11, Afghanistan, Iraq, the financial crisis -- and reflect on what, if anything, we learned. 

 

One additional point that I failed to mention in the diavlog itself.  While this was a bad decade for America, it was actually a pretty great decade for large swathes of the globe.  China, Russia, India, Brazil, and much of sub-Saharan Africa recorded sustained levels of economic growth., for example. 

I know that's little comfort to the unemployed in Ohio.  My point is that the "good riddance" aspect to the end-of-the-naughts is hardly a global phenomenon. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is with the New America Foundation's Flynt Leverett, who co-authored an op-ed last week that didn't sit too well with me.  We discuss the Leveretts' proposal for a grand bargain with Iran and all of its implications. 

 

 

I come away from the diavlog even more skeptical of the Leverett proposal -- the more I listened, the more I thought that:

  1. Today's Iran would not go for it;
  2. The collateral damage inflicted on our allies would be nontrivial;
  3. There is no domestic political support for such an initiative; and,
  4. From a realpolitik perspective, it's not demonstrably better than the alternatives.  

Opinions will vary, however -- give it a listen and let me know what you think in the comments. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

No, that's not the name of my new band -- though, man, that would be a geekily awesome name for a band -- but a cue for my latest bloggingheads diavlog with NSN's Heather Hurlburt.  Topics include Iran, the G-20 summit, and multilateralism more generally:

 

One follow-up note -- I've been amused to read the reactions to the G-20 summit, which range from (justifiably) mocking the communique to complaining that the summit failed to develop a cure for cancer to worries about a new oppressive global governance mechanism.

I believe that I might be the only blogger who thinks that the G-20 solved the Goldilocks problem of not being meaningless without being so binding that there's no wiggle room.  The peer review mechanism is the best enforcement arrangement that's possible given the heterogeneous cluster of countries involved, and I give the Obama administration full marks for setting its agenda on macroeconomic imbalances. 

That is all

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog with with Reihan Salam of the New America Foundation.  As it's the anniversary of Lehman going under, we talk about the political economy of the financial crisis, Ben Bernanke, the future of trade, and the future more generally:

 

Go check it out

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is with David Frum.  We discuss the situations in Iran and North Korea, and whether John Bolton is the Glenn Beck of U.S. foreign policy. 

 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads -- with NSN's Heather Hulburt -- is now online.  We chat about Obama's recent trip, carbon tariffs, and the future of the Doha round. 

One of the bloggingheads commenters labels our pairing "Drezburt," and I can live with that.  Enjoy! 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

These are a few of my favorite things to talk about with Henry Farrell on bloggingheads.  Check it out at the bloggingheads site, or watch it here: 

 

For more on apologies in international relations, do check out Jennifer Lind's excellent new book Sorry States:  Apologies in International Relations.  Or check out an excerpt of it in the latest issue of Foreign Affairs

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is now online, with NewMajority's David Frum.  Topics discussed include David's takedown of Rush Limbaugh, the future of the GOP, why Glenn Beck is one crazy motherf***er, and whether past political history is any guide for thinking about the future.

Go check it out. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads with Matthew Yglesias is up.  Topics discussed include Obama's first month, why less earmarks means more grandiose slabs of pork, and how to do an end-run around Hugo Chavez. 

Go check it out

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Loyal readers of foreignpolicy.com can hear the dulcimer dulcet tones of your humble blogger's voice at two different venues today. 

First, I had a commentary on Obama's leadership style on NPR's Marketplace today.  The key, hopeful paragraph: 

With markets and politicians in a state of panic, Obama has demonstrated that he appreciates the gravity of the situation but will not be overwhelmed by it. Even more encouraging is Obama's ability to understand and explain contending points of view. If Obama can show his cabinet that he has truly heard their views, they will be more willing to support him, even if he goes in another direction. By encouraging debate without alienating his team of egos, Barack Obama might just plug the leadership gap.

I also participated in a bloggingheads.tv diavlog with Rosa Brooks.  Many topics were discussed, including the utility of special envoys, the transition period, Bono, the Middle East, Joe the Plumber, and whether Rosa will be attending an inaugural ball (if you click here, you will, in fact, here me say "Bibbidy bobbedy boo").   

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Those are the topics covered by political theorist Josh Cohen and myself in our bloggingheads diavlog.  Go check it out.  As a special bonus at the end, Josh and I select the movies that perfectly encapsulates the George W. Bush era.  I'll just put the trailer for mine right here, because it's also a nice symbol -- the trailer for this movie was awesome, while the movie itself... not so much: 
 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is up, with Heather Hurlburt.  Topics discussed include the Mumbai attacks, Al Qaeda's networked structure, the politics of fear, my plan to bulk up the State Department -- now with the catchphrase "Bloat, baby bloat!!" -- and a request from readers to name the Drezner-Hurlburt bloggingheads duo.  Go check it out.   

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog is with the National Security Network's Heather Hurlburt.  We chat a little biyt about the election and some on the current contours of the global financial crisis.  The real value-added, however, is Heather's advice to seekers of administration positions: 
 
Check out the whole conversation.  Longtime readers of danieldrezner.com, who have served in political appointments in the executive branch, are encouaged to proffer their own advice in the comments. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Henry Farrell and I have a bloggingheads discussion about minor topics like the future of capitalism and the global economic order.  Really important topics, like the election, are not discussed.  Go check it out.  Alas, a sick child on my end had to cut the conversation short (she's fine).  This is too bad, because Henry and I were both looking forward to ripping this piece of blather to shreds. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest bloggingheads diavlog with Megan McArdle is up.  Topics include the financial panic, policy responses to said panic, Paul Krugman's Nobel Prize, and who we're voting for in November. So, yes, I'm voting for Obama.  I do this with little joy.  Obama's trade policies are blinkered -- I mean, seriously blinkered.  From his campaign ads, he seems to think that there are a fixed number of jobs in the world, so if China is creating new ones, we must be losing them.   I don't think bailing out the auto sector is a terribly good idea.  Oh, and he's not terribly open with the press, either.  So why Obama?  To quote Kerry Howley, "The only thing I know about Obama is that he is less scary than the other guy."  McCain's behavior in the past month has instilled zero confidence in me about his executive abilities.  Sarah Palin was an abjectly disastrous pick for VP, especially when John McCain is 72 and looks like he's 80.   McCain is the perfect Senator, because it allows him to focus on the issues he cares about.  That's not how the presidency works.  Based on his decisions and pronouncements to date, he'd be a disaster in the Oval Office. Finally, the fact is, my erstwhile party was in charge of the whole shebang for a few years and royally screwed up almost everything it touched.  If markets are supposed to let failures fail -- not the trendiest idea right now, I know -- then the Republicans have no right to be rewarded for their performance over the past eight years.  Let the GOP have its comeuppance and come back under new management. 

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Ther general consensus is that the presidential debates have sucked eggs.  Of course, this leads to an interesting question:  what would a good debate look like?  Ladies and gentleman, I give you Eric Alterman and Christopher Hitchens debating Iraq on bloggingheads.tv.  Bear in mind, these two are actually going to vote for the same guy in November -- but it doesn't affect their clash on Iraq: 
 
Do out the whole diavlog

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Last night Bob Wright and I did an emergency bloggingheads diavlog about yesterday's events.  Click here to check it out.  And, for fun, be sure to check out Bloggingheads' front page -- I've discovered I would not look good as Death. 
My latest bloggingheads diavlog is with Elvin Lim, who is the author of the very engaging book The Anti-Intellectual Presidency, which hereby receives the official danieldrezner.com endorsement.  Lim's argument, simply put, is that presidential rhetoric has become less intellectually nutritious over time.  The book has some fascinating details, including the following:
  • Using Flesch scores, the two least sophisticated set of presidential papers in the last eighty years are Lyndon Johnson and Bill Clinton -- i.e., they were written at an eleventh-grade reading level (the Bushes finish third and fourth).
  • Using those same Flesch scores, social scientists write denser more sophisticated prose than those in law or the humanities. 
We talk about the state of campaign rhetoric, the state of presidential rhetoric, and the movie Idiocracy (well, I talk about it). Go check it out

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

My latest Bloggingheads diavlog is up, with Rosa Brooks from Georgetown Law School, Democracy Arsenal, and Slate's XX factor.  Topics covered include when one is cool enough not to do e-mail, the ICC indictment of Sudan's president, and the Obama New Yorker cover.  My favorite part, however, is Rosa relates her childhood upbringing with regard to capitalism, and I have to try to talk her out of putting guns and money into her mattress.  I'm not entirely sure I succeeded.  Enjoy!

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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