Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

While I'm ISAing, check out my article "Uncle Sam vs the Dragon" in the latest issue of The Spectator (U.K.).  It compares the recent Sino-American contretemps to the Cold War.  I argue that there actually are some decent parallels, but not necessarily the ones you'd expect.  My closing graf:

In the Cold War, moments of brinksmanship caused both countries to back away from the precipice. It is possible that, as tensions between China and America mount, nervous chauvinism — in the form of economic nationalism, bureaucratic rivalries or Congressional stupidity — might trigger a cascade of misguided actions and cause a damaging conflict. We can hope that politicians in Beijing and Washington will learn the right lessons from history. But we can expect plenty more tension as Uncle Sam and the Dragon settle down together.

Read the whole thing

Posted By Daniel W. Drezner

Matt Yglesias posts the following query
So has anyone actually read [Team of Rivals]? I think it’s a book I’ve been known to pretend to read in the past. In general, I’d be more comfortable with a president drawing lessons from serious historical scholarship rather than these kind of pop histories they sell in airports.
As it happens, I've read Team of Rivals from cover to cover, and even recommended it to the presidential candidates months before it was hip to do so.  Here's what I wrote then: 
The idea of highlighting Lincoln’s greatness by examining how he treated both his political rivals (William Seward, Salmon Chase, Edwin Stanton, and Edward Bates) and his generals (McClellan, Grant, Meade) is ingenious. Goodwin suggests two sources of Lincoln’s greatness: his ego, which allowed him to tolerate with grace the machinations of his cabinet, and his political acumen, which allowed him to move on the slavery issue in such a way that he led the country without overreaching and antagonizing public opinion in the Union. This latter, populist skill is usually looked at askance in political commentary, so it was facinating to see a great man use it to good purposes.
How does the Team of Rivals analogy apply here?  Well, Obama certainly has a healthy ego, and based on his behavior to date, seems perfectly comfortable being the calm at the center of the storm.  That said, I think there are two important differences at work here:  1.  Lincoln's team of rivals consisted of politicians who actively pursued the Presidency, and thought themselves the political superior of Lincoln.  I'm not sure how well that applies here beyond Hillary Clinton.  For example, this FT story by Demetri Sevastopulo suggests that keeping on Bob Gates as SecDef mirrors, "the approach of Abraham Lincoln who appointed former rivals to his cabinet in 1861."  But Gates has never run for the presidency, or expressed any desire to do so.  Neither has Larry Summers, Tom Daschle, Eric Holder, or other rumored cabinet names (maybe John Kerry or Bill Richardson, but he would simply be displacing Clinton).  In other words, Obama's cabinet will likely contain a lot of smart, strong-willed individuals, but not necessarily more presidential aspirants than Lincoln.  In other words, it would look an awful lot like... George W. Bush's first cabinet.  2.  The bigger difference is that the federal government during the 1860s really was a cabinet government -- Lincoln had just a handful of staffers like John Hay - and no one like Rahm Emanuel.  In contrast, as Marc Ambinder has repeatedly pointed out, Obama seems to be much more focused on staffing the White House than his cabinet.  So in contrast to Lincoln, Obama has more than his personal political skills at his disposal to manage his cabinet departments.  That said, it's pretty smart for Obama and his staff to spread this meme around.  First, it flatters all of his cabinet officers to think that they're like Seward, Salmon Chase et al.  Second, by invoking the metaphor, Obama gets to frame his administration as evoking both the great challenges of the Civil War period and the greatness of Lincoln. 

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

Read More