Posted By Daniel W. Drezner Share

Apparently the G8 leaders have pledged to reduce carbon emissions by 50% by 2050.  In making the pledge that does not need to be honored for 42 years, the G8 has learned its lesson from the 2005 Gleneagles summit.  While in Scotland, they pledged to double aid to sub-Saharan Africa by 2010.  As that date approaches, and skepticism mounts about whether they will achieve their target, suddenly the promise looks a little bit hollowEnvironmentalists are unimpressed with this pledge, but as a political scientist I find these long-range promises surprisingly rare.  Politicians should love making these kind of pledges, because, in theory, they can lock in preferences long after a leader has left the stage.  If nothing else, breaking this kind of promise does exact some modest cost on the future leader who has to make the reversal. Readers are hereby encouraged to submit a pledge that the G8 should promise to fulfill by the year 2100.  The pledge should be smart policy but such a dead-bang political loser that there is, literally, zero chance of it being implemented in our lifetime. I'll start:  the G8 should pledge to remove all migration restrictions -- regardless of the country of origin -- by the year 2100.
 

AHSAN

5:18 PM ET

July 8, 2008

"If nothing else, breaking

"If nothing else, breaking this kind of promise does exact some modest cost on the future leader who has to make the reversal."

This argument was also (originally?) made by Lloyd Gruber in "Ruling the World: Power Politics and the Rise of Supranational Institutions" (Princeton, 2000). Among other insights, he pointed out that rational institution designers would try to lower the costs of membership to placate potential future domestic leaders (i.e. make it more palatable for them to stay in the institution) and *raise* the costs of exit, to make it more likely that institutions would be sticky and/or permanent. I wonder if you are aware of his work.

 

DANIEL

5:37 PM ET

July 8, 2008

The EU will celebrate

The EU will celebrate Turkey's admission by eliminating all agricultural subsidies.

 

LORD

6:14 PM ET

July 8, 2008

It should at least also be

It should at least also be supported by many. Balance our budgets comes to mind. End war was already tried so it lacks credibility. End poverty tried somewhat. Educate the world has a nice ring to it.

 

SISYPHUS

7:14 PM ET

July 8, 2008

How about a pledge that by

How about a pledge that by 2100 all the world's governments will allow free trade? That should be easy enough.

 

WPH

8:49 PM ET

July 8, 2008

The G8 could promise to

The G8 could promise to remake its membership to reflect real economic power by 2100.

 

DONNA B.

4:32 AM ET

July 9, 2008

I think worldwide

I think worldwide availability of quesadillas would be a good thing. If everyone were fully, gastronomically satisfied, wouldn't world peace be a no-brainer?

Oh, wait... what was that you said about some people wanting control??? OK, they should grill the chicken.

 

NOVA

11:27 AM ET

July 10, 2008

Lloyd is that you posting

Lloyd is that you posting again? Go ahead and use your name, we don't mind if you shamelessly give yourself props.

 

NOVA

11:30 AM ET

July 10, 2008

How 'bout: High speed

How 'bout: High speed internet connections for all and a chicken in every pot by 2100!

 

AHSAN

7:43 PM ET

July 10, 2008

@7: Hahaha, no, no, I am who

@7:

Hahaha, no, no, I am who I say I am. Grad student in Poli Sci at Dan's old school, U of C. Just took the IR prelim about 5 weeks ago, so it's all still very fresh. Hopefully it'll all be gone by the end of the summer.

 

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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