Thursday, September 11, 2008 - 1:55 PM
Daniel W. Drezner, a professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University, compared the growing role of sovereign wealth funds and foreign investment in the U.S. to the idea of “mutually-assured destruction” between the U.S. and the Soviet Union during the Cold War. “Mutually-assured destruction can mean a more peaceful co-existence, but it’s a relatively nervous co-existence,” Drezner said. Drezner added that while interdependence caused by greater foreign investment in U.S. firms “will constrain U.S. foreign policy,” he said foreign holders of U.S. debt would be unlikely to take drastic actions to hurt the U.S. “They can’t see all of their assets wipe away with the blink of an eye,” Drezner said. “They would be equally devastated.”One last note -- it's a very strange world we live in when former Fed official Edwin Truman says he agrees with 75% of what renking member Ron Paul says about international monetary policy.
Ah yes. The theory of the capitalist peace! Reminds me of Norman Angell's The Great Illusion. My favourite edition of that book is the one published in early 1914.
Remember that for an individual policy-maker, the personal penalty for an economically irrational decision is close to zero. The men who managed the foreign policy of a country with a big sovereign wealth fund have little personal incentive to protect that fund, unless they happen to be the sovereign, which is true maybe in Brunei and one or two other places. Moreover, lots of rulers have brains addled with various forms of mysticism and are just plain irrational.
That's why your argument is as flawed as that advanced by Norman Angell.
Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.
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