Ten years ago, when the Asian financial crisis was in full bloom, both Europe and Japan proposed some tweaks to global governance.  Japan floated the idea of an Asian Monetary Fund, and France suggested the creation of an Economic Security Council.  The United States effectively mooted both suggestions.  I bring this up because of the following Financial Times story by Tony Barber
Europe’s leading policymakers will convene in Paris next week to prepare the ground for a possible global summit on the financial crisis, Nicolas Sarkozy, France’s president, said on Monday. He said the Paris talks would bring together officials from France, Germany, Italy and the UK – the four European Union powers represented in the G8 group of industrialised nations – as well as Jean-Claude Trichet, the European Central Bank president, José Manuel Barroso, the European Commission president, and Jean-Claude Juncker, head of the eurozone’s finance ministers’ group. “We must not give in to the forces of destabilisation. We must support the banks. But there are structural problems. I confirm my call for a summit in coming weeks to establish the basis for a new international financial system,” Mr Sarkozy said.
This is exactly the kind of thing that the U.S. would have shot down a decade ago.  If this goes anywhere, it will signal a decline in U.S. influence. 
 

MIKE

6:26 PM ET

September 29, 2008

In light of the appalling

In light of the appalling record of deregulation, "free"-trade, and cowboy capitalism in the US, it is time for a reduction in American influence. South America has been leading the way to reject American neo-liberal colonial policies and insane financial shenanigans.

State ownership of these corrupt financial entities is insufficient to undo all the wrongs of the Reagan era's false ideology.

 

DB

10:17 PM ET

September 29, 2008

I think it's telling that the

I think it's telling that the part of the world that is boldest in sticking a finger in the American eye is the part of the world in our own backyard -- Latin America.

Pretty soon, Chinese, Taiwanese, Korean and Japanese central bankers are going to get the same idea.

And then the game's up.

Looks like the Europeans are about as far up diarrhea gully without a stick as we are. But at least they can take comfort in Britain's refusal to join the Euro. As for the Brits, maybe they'll just sink completely without trace.

 

DON STADLER

10:39 PM ET

September 29, 2008

A little historical

A little historical perspective please.

Latin America has ALWAYS been sticking a finger in the American eye! Possibly less so the past 20 years than ever before.

Or do the names Fidel Castro, Pancho Villa, Juan Peron, and Savatore Allende mean nothing to you? Not to mention many, many others over the years. The major irritants today are Chavez, and he is nothing compared to the Castro of the 60's and various Mexican rebels and presidents.

The US is not in a postion to dictate to Lula and Brazil? Was it ever except at very fleeting moments?

This is nothing new and not even ominous really.

If the Europeans and/or the Asians form their own econmic organisations it won't be the end of the world or even the 'end of the game'. It will just mean new games. I suspect the US won't be able to retain status as 'the sole superpower'.

We will have to settle for being the first power in a concert of powers like existed prior to WWI. This is FAR from a bad thing for the US - it may be a major improvement. The problem with being the sole superpower is that everyone expects you to solve EVERYTHING! A country can get all twisted out of shape trying to do everything - ask any British historian.

We can tell Europe to piss off and defend itself, or tell them we're willing to sign a new treaty with them assuming there is enough in it for the US. If not - opt out. There is relatively little the US really MUST defend. Canada, possibly Mexico - what else other than the 50 states? Not many threats to those countries. Why ould Russia want Canada when Europe is right next door to them?

 

DON STADLER

4:43 PM ET

September 30, 2008

An interesting (if very

An interesting (if very fleeting) indicator is that the dollar soared today against the euro. According to a Bloomberg story currency traders believe that the US is more advanced than the EU in the exposure of rotten banking assets. That may be true; after months of bad banking news in the US with no banking collapses in Europe except for the UK's Northern Rock, there were a wave of government bailouts over the weekend, with another one surfacing yesterday.

This crash seems to be following a familiar pattern of all great crashes: It seems that no sooner does some great minister of state make a statement about how brilliantly his country or group will ride out the crisis than the markets make an utter fool of him.

Russia's Mendenev boasted that the US was going to collapse late in the summer - the Russian stock market quickly collapsed & lost 55%. Mendenev has not been subsequently heard from on the subject - could be he's changed his mind.

Last week German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrück predicted that "the US will lose its status as the superpower of the world financial system." Instead European banks and sovereign wealth funds will have an increased role in a multipolar financial world."

Over the weekend a number of the presumed mainstays of the new European economic order developed enough problems that they needed to be bailed out, and one suspects there is more trouble ahead.

Is this somehow 'good' for the US? No. I don't think it behooves anyone to be too confident about anything right now. A national 'victory' which consists of *only* losing 20% of one's banking system and *only* having one' stock market fall 50% while others lose more - would seem to be rather pyrric, to the point where one questions whether it is a victory at all.

I think wer'e all in this together. We can make the system work - or not. If we don't then we'll all suffer a lot.

 

Y81

9:09 PM ET

October 1, 2008

Today, the Irish government

Today, the Irish government put itelf at risk for twice the country's GDP. Needless to say, Irish CDS have risen just a little. I really don't think any European governments are going to be taking over global financial leadership from the U.S. Some of them may not survive fiscally.

 

ROB

7:07 AM ET

October 2, 2008

It failed. The dollar's

It failed. The dollar's soaring. Everyone wants into US treasuries. Looks like the US passed...

 

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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