So you think you're smarter than a political scientist?

Electoral college: 272-266 for McCain
Popular vote: 51-49 for Obama
Senate: +8 for Democrats

Closest to all three?
Electoral: Obama 375-163
Pop: 54-45-1 Obama (2 percent Independents? The Nader-Barr influence is not alive)
Senate: +8 Dems (though it could take forever in Georgia)
I'm going to guess most predictions are going to be close together. I bet I'll regret not giving Obama Georgia.

Electoral - Obama 270

Popular Vote - Obama 52 McCain 48

Senate +5 Dems

Obama: 374, McCain: 164. Obama: 55%, McCain: 43%. Senate: +9 Dems.

Please.

This kind of landslide is simply not going to happen.

I have read a descent into madness over the last eight years.

What kind of conservative/Republican winds up taking these bizarre stances.

Once, you made sense. But like Blackmun said of the Court, you have moved (this time to the left), whereas I have stayed where I am.

I think you should just identify as a Democrat because that's where we've gotten.

Electoral Vote:

Obama 291

Popular Vote 50-48 Obama

How does an intellectual Zelig skate past an entire nation through an interminable election cycle?

Obama: 349 - McCain: 189
Obama: 53% - McCain: 46%
+8

Obama: 338 McCain 200
Obama: 52% McCain: 45%
Dems +8 in Senate

Electoral College: Obama: 353 - McCain: 185
Popular Vote: Obama: 52% - McCain:47%
Senate: +8 to the Democrats

Obama: 311 - McCain: 227
Obama: 53% - McCain: 46%
Senate: +7 for Dems

Obama: 353. McCain: 185
Obama: 54%. McCain: 45%
Senate: +8 Dems.

EC - Obama: 325, McCain: 213
PV - Obama: 52%, McCain: 47&
Senate: +7 Dems

[...] here for Daniel Drezner’s prediction [...]

Obama: 352, McCain: 185
Obama: 52, Mccain: 47
Senate: +7

Obama 50
McCain 49

McCain narrowly wins electoral vote.

Dems pick-up 6 senate seats.
Dems fail to hit 250 seat majority in the House.

Ah, hell, this Canuck will give it a shot (let's see if all those years in Philadelphia taught me anything about Americans):

Obama: 346, McCain: 192
Obama: 52%, McCain: 48%
Senate: +9 Dems

Obama: 297
McCain: 241

My state-by-state electoral college predictions are here.

Popular vote: 51-49
Senate: +6 Dem
House: Paper-thin Dem majority

Obama: 347, McCain: 191
Obama: 54%, McCain: 42%
Senate: + 9 Dems

also topic of choice..Krugman :)

Electoral college: 353 Obama-185 McCain
Popular vote: 52-47 Obama
Senate: +8 Dems

Obama: 318
McCain: 220

Popular vote: 53 - 47

Popular: 52-47, Obama
Electoral: 310-228, Obama
Dems: +6 Senate

Obama, 364-174
Dems, +8 in senate
Obama, 52-47% popular

Obama, 311-227
Dems +8 in Senate
Obama 52-46% in popular

I'm not going to forecast, but I do have a suggestion--a prize for the poster who is least close to the final results.

I think it will be a blowout -
EC Obama 407 McCain 131 (Obama wins AZ)
Popular Vote
Obama 56 McCain 43 Others 1
Senate
Dems +8 and GA goes to runoff which will later give Dems +9

EC: 322-216 Obama
Popular Vote: 53-45.5 Obama
Senate: Dems+7

The hard calls are the Minnesota Senate race and the Missouri presidential.

In Minnesota, as of 10:30 AM or so, Blumenthal has Franken up by 1.9%, Intrade's odds are 57-47 in favor of Franken, and IEM's are 49-48 (though anomalously, the vote shares favor Coleman). Also, one might guess that more Barkley voters are more likely to come Franken's way than the incumbent's. Franken.

In Missouri, the Intrade odds favor Obama 57-47 and Blumenthal gives him a 1.1% lead. Obama.

As for how much Obama beats McCain by in the nationwide popular vote, Stimson shows Obama up 7.8%, Blumenthal 7.6%, and Iowa 7.6%.

Martin:

If the Georgia race goes to runoff, the race will go to the GOP. Libertarian voters (a 2% group in Georiga, because one of our talk show hosts is a big Libertarian) are not going to vote for the Dem, and the early voters who went big time for Obama are not going to bother to come back to polls for a single senate race.

I am not going to predict margin for Obama, though my senate pick is Dems+6. I have it from a voting rights guy that many of the early ballots are spoiled because the new voters are not very good at following the ballot instructions, causing a large number of rejections.

Electoral College: 325-213 (for Obama)
Popular: 51-46 (for Obama)
Sentate: +7 for Dems

349-189 Obama.

52-46 Obama

Dems +8

Should be an interesting day here in DC...

I'm not into the prediction thing since I'm superstitious about such things. However, I will say that I prefer to see less politics and more Salma Hayek.

If there is a split between the Electoral College and the popular vote and McCain is president, that would be a recipe for absolute disaster. McCain would have to create a national unity government and act to get rid of the Electoral College. Otherwise, we would be near civil war. (Ah, that is a bit to extreme).

O 310
M 222
Sen + 8
HR + 30

Obama 318 McCain 220
Obama 54 McCain 46
D-57+Bernie Sanders R-41 and Joe Lieberman

EC: 344-194 Obama
Popular Vote: 54-45 Obama
Senate: Dems+10 (Really? No one's gone there yet?)

Electoral College: Obama 337 McCain 201
Popular Vote: 51-47 Obama
Senate: +7 for Democrats

You did not account for the run-off in Georgia

Ian: actually, I did factor in the runoff -- I'm assuming that no one clears 50% and then Chambliss (R) wins the runoff once the Democratic romp sinks in.

I agree with A. M. about Georgia. Martin either wins his 50% + 1 in the first round or he loses a runoff.

I have Obama coming in around 54% of the popular vote, McCain about 45%.

Electoral College: 390 Obama, 148 McCain, reckoning that almost all the states that are close in the polls will break toward the Democrats.

Democrats will gain eight seats in the Senate and between 24 and 30 in the House.

Electoral College: Obama 328, McCain 210

Popular vote: Obama 52.3%, Mccain 46.5%

Senate: 55 Democrat, 43 Republican, 2 independent
(i.e., Dem + 6)

House: 258 Democrat, 176 Republican
(i.e., Dem +23)

311-227 Obama
51-47 Popular
+7 Democrats

Obama 318
McCain 220
Democrats senate 58 (gains - 7 including Lieberman)