Posted By Daniel W. Drezner Share

I was on the BBC's Newhour with Claire Bolderson very, very early in the morning to talk about the election, so my head's still a bit groggy.  Still, a few assorted odds & ends this morning:
  1. I said that the concession speech was going to be my favorite part of the evening, and John McCain did not disappoint.  He turned his audience's boos at the mention of Barack Obama to relatively warm applause (though click here as well).  UPDATE:  I agree with Jonathan Martin that President Bush hit the right grace notes in his morning address as well. 
  2. Obama's acceptance speech was equally gracious.  Mickey Kaus notes the things that weren't mentioned.  What I found interesting was the fact that he explicitly addressed non-Americans. 
  3. Stepping back, the election night does not appear to have been as strong for the Democrats as some had hoped.  They're not going to get to 60 seats in the Senate -- though that was always an outside shot at best.  The House gains also appear to be smaller than expected.  Given the gains they had two years ago, this is not terribly surprising, but it is worthy of note. 
  4. So much for the Bradley Effect. 
  5. Now comes the fun part for the policy wonks -- who gets what job, and who gets snubbed!!  Based on Obama's organization to date, I expect the transition to be pretty quick. 
  6. I'm hopeful that after this week, the names Bill Ayers, Jeremiah Wright, and Tony Rezko will never be uttered on news shows ever again. 
  7. 45 years ago, in his "I have a Dream" speech, Martin Luther King Jr. said that, "I have a dream that my four little children will one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin but by the content of their character."  Obama was two years old when King said that.  It's a testament to King's vision that, in 2008, Obama ran a campaign that asked Americans to do just that. 
  8. I'm sensing from my readers that they would like to see some more Salma Hayek posts.  While not involving the lovely and charming Ms. Hayek, I hereby link to the World's Most Awesome Commercial Ever.   
That is all. 
 

TROUT8989

5:18 PM ET

November 5, 2008

Point 7 is a wonderful

Point 7 is a wonderful reflection

 

NICK G

5:32 PM ET

November 5, 2008

Best commercial ever.

Best commercial ever.

 

JUSTIN

5:40 PM ET

November 5, 2008

It seemed to go pretty

It seemed to go pretty freakin well for the Democrats to me. They didn't even get rid of Murtha for God's sake. Add him to the list with Ray Nagin, for when you start having too much faith in the electorate.

 

JUSTIN

6:14 PM ET

November 5, 2008

Oh, and throw Ted Stevens on

Oh, and throw Ted Stevens on the list too.

 

SJC

6:23 PM ET

November 5, 2008

I do the same thing with

I do the same thing with Mario Kart Wii.

 

MARTIN

7:38 PM ET

November 5, 2008

Good thing you left Chicago,

Good thing you left Chicago, Dan - otherwise you would be hearing a lot more about Tony Rezko. William Cellini was just indicted. The big question about Blago (our beloved governor Rod Blagojevich) is will he be indicted by July 1, 2009, or sometime later in the year. Also, will he have the nerve (his 13% approval rating is lower than Bush's) to appoint himself to Obama's senate seat.
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/columnists/chi-kass-31-oct31,0,7932244.column

Big local question - will Obama leave Patrick Fitzgerals in place as the US Attorney. He still has plenty of politicians to throw in jail. Most amazing thing that happened this week, on Monday Fast Eddie Vrdolyak plead guilty -
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-vrdolyak-04-nov04,0,4062127.story

 

ZATHRAS

7:41 PM ET

November 5, 2008

How much do we want to bet

How much do we want to bet these will not be Dan's last thoughts about the election?

Here are a few of mine: The Democrats need to invest some thought to how they pick Senate candidates. Losing to a felon is just a half-inch less ingnominious than losing to a corpse, but I watched this Begich guy in his TV debate with Stevens. He looked as if he could lose to a corpse. And couldn't the Democrats in Minnesota come up with a candidate who was not from New York? I don't mean just technically not from New York. It normally works better to try persuading voters to make their Senator someone from their own state.

The map showing counties that voted more for one party or the other this year than they did in 2004 shows a swath of red stretching from Oklahoma and rural Arkansas east and north through Appalachia. Swell. From the party of Ronald Reagan to the Hillbilly Party in a generation.

Speaking of hillbillies, Newsweek online has an amusing tidbit(http://www.newsweek.com/id/167581). Let's just say it involves the Future of the Republican Party pillaging a well-known department store from coast to coast.

African American turnout in the South appears to have increased less than I thought it would, especially in Georgia. This was a real surprise.

For all the criticism of John McCain and the campaign he ran, could any of the candidates he beat in the GOP primaries have done as well as he did yesterday?

For all the praise of Barack Obama and the campaign he ran, could he not have lost this election were it not for the financial markets' collapse in September? Running against an opponent who embraced nearly all the major policies of a Republican President whose approval ratings have been in the 20s for a good year, losing shouldn't have even been in the picture.

Does having picked up seats in the election mean Congressional Democrats will keep all their leaders? Even Harry Reid?

 

AGD

8:11 PM ET

November 5, 2008

as one of those non-americans

as one of those non-americans mentioned in point 2, I must say that part of his speech was particularly reassuring.

 

MITCHELL YOUNG

8:28 PM ET

November 5, 2008

To reproduce msnbc's poll

To reproduce msnbc's poll results

In your vote for president today, was mcCain's choice of Sarah Palin

A factor (vote) Obama 43% McCain 56 % 60% of voters
Not a factor (vote) Obama 65% McCain 33% 33% of voters

The most obvious conclusion is that Sarah Palin was a plus for the ticket.

As for better candidates, which one wouldn't have been better? Neither Romney nor Huckabee would have been as tied to 'Bush's failed policy' as much are McCain. And McCain, god love him, just did not look 'presidential' over and against the taller, younger, unbroken by torture -- or indeed any sort of military service or manual labor -- Obama. A lot of folks vote on stuff like that, and Romney would have matched and surpassed Obama in that regard.

 

MITCHELL YOUNG

8:44 PM ET

November 5, 2008

Oh, and this one goes out to

Oh, and this one goes out to our grateful host, some analysis from Noam Schreiber

"The upshot was that, despite losing the white working-class by wide margins nationally, Obama came reasonably close in the economically depressed states of the industrial Midwest (down only 8 in Ohio and Indiana, actually up 6 in Michigan). Hence the electoral college landslide."

That is, those hurt most by the Republican mantra of free trade -- of which there was no greater chanter than John McCain -- screwed Daniel Drezner's former party. Thanks, man.

 

CHRIS

8:49 PM ET

November 5, 2008

Hey Zathras: “a swath of red

Hey Zathras:

“a swath of red stretching from Oklahoma and rural Arkansas east and north through Appalachia. Swell. From the party of Ronald Reagan to the Hillbilly Party in a generation.”

Painting a third of the country as hillbillies in one swipe seems a bit unsporting to me. Do you belong to some sort of American aristocracy of which I am unaware? Descended from princes perhaps?

 

MITCHELL YOUNG

8:54 PM ET

November 5, 2008

Hey Chris, My thought

Hey Chris,

My thought exactly, so I googled him. Seems he is a character from one of the most obscure Star Trek almost Star Trek spin-offs. Kind of figures.

 

ARIEL

9:05 PM ET

November 5, 2008

Lousy game + Heidi Klum = me

Lousy game + Heidi Klum = me shelling out R500 for GHWT.

 

ROB

9:48 PM ET

November 5, 2008

And in probably the least

And in probably the least surprising development, the market began its crash on the news today...

 

LORD

10:02 PM ET

November 5, 2008

If you wanted McCain, you

If you wanted McCain, you should have voted for him .. in 2000.

 

ZATHRAS

10:35 PM ET

November 5, 2008

More like 22% of the country,

More like 22% of the country, actually. Don't like the hillbilly label? Believe me, I meant it in the best possible way. I think of hillbillies as the kind of people with tastes so refined and elevated they can blow through tens of thousands of dollars at upscale clothing stores in a matter of days, using other people's money. Or at least who can applaud folks who can do that, because they know those folks share their values. Which they may or may not, but at least they're against the liberals and the elite media.

 

IAN

11:45 PM ET

November 5, 2008

Just as I don't believe

Just as I don't believe people should vote against anyone BECAUSE of their race, I also don't BELIEVE people should vote for anyone because of their race. This election doesn't demonstrate that racism doesn't exist in this country. It demonstrates that the country has moved to the left on economic and social issues and that certain number of commentators felt that it showed how "tolerant" they are by supporting Barack Obama, a candidate who hasn't even served a full-term in the Senate. And space the Palin experience argument. The VP typically does very little and yes McCain is old but his mother is 96. It really is pretty classless the way many on the left treated: McCain, Bush, and Palin in this election.

 

ALAN K. HENDERSON

3:21 AM ET

November 6, 2008

It’s a testament to King’s

It’s a testament to King’s vision that, in 2008, Obama ran a campaign that asked Americans to do just that.

But it was campaign dishonesty. He devoted twenty years to a church that opposed Dr. King's dream. I can't imagine anyone officially joining a church for two decades if one is opposed to that church's central theology.

 

BALOK

1:43 PM ET

November 6, 2008

Skin color - this is common

Skin color - this is common mistake people make and it gets annoying - angst et al concerning another race is all about culture, not skin color - skin color only matters as a marker pointing to a culture which someone may be uncomfortable with - it's all about culture. MLK's sentiments were naive, as are yours referencing them Dan. Electing a black president is good optics for people who like to give fluffy speeches - but virtually meaningless otherwise.

Wright and the boys will be back in 2012 if Obama governs like the ultra liberal his past suggests. Whoever runs against him in 2012 will not make the same mistake McCain made. The whole point of raising Wright and the boys was or should have been about painting Obama as too liberal for America - that is still a valid charge until he proves it isn't.

 

APPALLED MODERATE

2:04 PM ET

November 6, 2008

Zathras: The proper word for

Zathras:

The proper word for the folks you are describing is "trash", "white trash", "trailer trash", "no go to, no come from", "tacky people". Hillbilly is an epithet, along the lines the KKK would use to describe Obama.

 

ZATHRAS

4:15 PM ET

November 6, 2008

A. M.'s "proper words" sound

A. M.'s "proper words" sound like epithets to me. I think he's being very insensitive, and elitist also.

 

LOUIEV

6:16 PM ET

November 6, 2008

I originally stopped by to

I originally stopped by to say thanks for including a link to our Martin Luther King Jr. celebration.

But I decided to join in with conversation.

>The Democrats need to invest some thought to how they pick Senate candidates.

Its true that not everyone the Democratic party ran this time was great. But this year the call was for "more" Democrats in the Senate and House.

Now that we have done fairly well its on to 2010.
Where we will run "better" Democrats. And then on to 2012! With the best. :)

So don't worry about us. We're doing fine.

And thanks for the link too!

 

APPALLED MODERATE

6:22 PM ET

November 6, 2008

Z: My words have the virtue

Z:

My words have the virtue of specificity. Yours libel a region. (Plus, there isn't a hill in Mississippi to be billy on.)

As for insensitivity -- only when I drink too much and fall asleep.

 

ALAN BOCK

5:48 AM ET

November 7, 2008

I was in California writing

I was in California writing editorials in 1982 (still doing it)when Tom Bradley (black moderate Democratic mayor of LA) ran for governor and remember another factor other than race for his losing when the polls predicted he would win. There was a gun control measure on the ballot (I've forgotten the details) which the polls also showed to be trailing, but the pro-gun people came out and while they were at it voted against Bradley. Jerry Brown was also running for Senate that same year and lost after leading in the polls. There may have been a tiny race effect, but I suspect the Bradley Effect has been a myth all along.

 

NS

8:05 PM ET

November 8, 2008

"I’m hopeful that after this

"I’m hopeful that after this week, the names Bill Ayers, Jeremiah Wright, and Tony Rezko will never be uttered on news shows ever again. "

If Patrick Fitzgerald has anything to say, you will hear a lot about Tony Rezko... Alexi Ginnoulias.. Richard Daley.. Rod Blagojevich.. this list is actually pretty long.

Ayers and Wright can get themselves back into attention when ever they want to.

But our tanning bed media will make sure that anything that shows the true nature of Obama's associates, friends and allies will never see the light of day.

Because,as some one said - "show me your friends and i will tell you who you are" is something that is very very difficult for the MSM to apply to Obama.

 

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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