Thursday, January 22, 2009 - 3:32 PM
The Economist's Democracy in America blog takes me to task for this post on the French/European response to sending more troops to Afghanistan:
[Drezner] then notes a small "to be sure": fewer than 5% of voters in France, Germany, Italy and Britain support sending more troops to Afghanistan too. That pretty decisively handcuffs those goverments. Why not call the Germans or Brits "passive-aggressive-y"? Because it wouldn't fit the American stereotype of Gallic limp-wristedness.
Two quick responses. First, the alleged constraint of public opinion (see below) did not cause either the British or German defense ministers to categorically rule out sending more troops to Afghanistan the day after Barack Obama was sworn in. I focused on France because the French defense minister spoke up on this at an interesting juncture.
Second, the Economist's blogger did not read precisely what I wrote, nor did s/he apparently click through to the FT story to which I linked. I wrote, "Less than five percent of those polled believed that European countries should send troops to Afghanistan as a gesture of solidarity with Obama. (emphasis added)" If you look at the poll, however, a significant fraction of respondents (though not a majority or a plurality) were comfortable with the idea of sending more troops "if warranted by conditions in Afghanistan." Furthermore, this support is stronger in France than it is in either Germany or the UK, which suggests that the French government faces a lesser constraint than policymakers in Berlin or London.
I firmly believe that public opinion should play an important role in dictating the foreign policy of a democracy -- including France. But these opinion polls are not quite the binding constraint that the Economist suggests. Furthermore, it seems only polite to wait and see what Obama will say on Afghanistan before issuing a firm "Non!"
Gasp! I agree with the French!
Seems like a dumb poll question. What reasonable person thinks deploying troops as a gesture of solidarity is a good idea? Solidarity is a means, not an end. Stabilizing the region, protecting innocents, suppressing terrorism, these would be reasonable (if arguable) reasons for deploying troops.
I assume the French know their public better than the rest of us do. If they already know that their public will not support additional deployments of troops to Afghanistan, then the French did Obama a favor by clarifying this point now. The alternative would be to allow Obama to invest prestige in in a policy ambition that could not be achieved, and then face embarrassment and a loss mojo when he fails to achieve his aim. Better to make a clean and neat statement now.
I can only picture the exchange to go something like this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YV0LGMGuLN0
Now go away, or I will taunt you for a second time!!!
Am I the only one who finds it a refreshingly honest and straight-forward response to an ally electing a new leader?
Their response suggests to me something that is unappealing to any Obama fan: Whenever the US elects a new leader 95% of business goes on as usual.
Furthermore, the French have attempted to pick up the diplomatic slack left by the US for the past couple of months. The conspicuous silence on Gaza of Obama, before his inauguration, and his lame-duck predecessor rather undermines criticism of the French right now.
I'm aware that Obama's 'one president at a time' policy was supposedly in respect of tradition but if that is the case then tradition won over both morality and good sense. America was left without even one president and this weakness was exploited. From either the most heartbleedingly liberal or staunchly realist standpoint this should be a cause for concern.
If the French appear a little abrupt, perhaps its because they've not had a two month holiday from trying to keep the world running.
@sjc:
If we're reducing the debate to Monty Python quotes i'd prefer this one http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=af9EHtQMMc4
"He's not the messiah, he's a very naughty boy!"
Any US President is going to be a very naughty boy at some point; such things come with the office.
Maybe the French just aren't emotionally invested in this guy so they have no need to pretend otherwise?
Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.
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