Posted By Daniel W. Drezner Share

One of the arguments I made in All Politics Is Global was simple -- when it comes to writing the rules of the global economic game, power could be defined as internal market size.  Governments that preside over large markets are rule-makers and not rule-takers. 

The United States and European Union were the two large market jurisdictions in the book, but the obvious question to ask now is how long it takes before China is thought of a co-equal of those great powers. 

In this context, the Wall Street Journal's China blog has a small item showing that on at least one dimension, Beijing is about to make its voice heard

China is likely to surpass the U.S. to become world’s largest online game market this year, according to a recent report by market research firm iResearch....

iResearch forecasts that the Chinese online market will be worth more than 68 billion yuan by 2012, which will account for almost half of the global market by then. At present, U.S., China and Korea are the world’s top three largest online game markets, making up about 29%, 27% and 21% respectively of the global online game market, according to the report....

 

 
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MATT F

11:51 PM ET

May 12, 2009

I wonder how much of the

I wonder how much of the growth is due to actual players in China, and how much is due to gold farming companies.

 

JBD

5:46 AM ET

May 13, 2009

As, sigh, an online gamer...

The game I play, which shall remain nameless but has been called spreadsheets in space, has a totally[1] separate server for China. Which is odd, because it also claims the largest simultaneous server cluster.

The point about China having a large base from farming resources stands though. But I can't imagine it counts for a majority of users (otherwise things like time codes would be dramatically cheaper; just ask any EVE[2] economics geek.

______________________
[1] So they say.
[2] Oops. Yeah, that one.

 

JOHNBRAGG

5:13 AM ET

May 18, 2009

Waitaminnit

China's share of the online gaming market is going to expand from "27%" to "nearly half" in four years? Within a margin of error of doubling?

That's a pretty strong claim, that calls for a little bit of questioning.

 

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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