Posted By Daniel W. Drezner Share

The Financial Times has been working overtime to discussing an emergent trend: multinational CEOs in Europe and the United States ripping into China.

In some ways, this started earlier this year. There was Google's complaint, of course. And, as TNR's James Mann noted, "Both the American Chamber of Commerce in Beijing and the European Chamber of Commerce in China have issued reports in recent months conceding that the business climate for foreign companies there has steadily worsened."

Things have been heating up in July, however. First, as Guy Dinmore and Jamil Anderlini report, GE CEO Jeffrey Immelt ripped into China while in Europe:

He warned that the world’s largest manufacturing company was exploring better prospects elsewhere in resource-rich countries, which did not want to be “colonised” by Chinese investors. “I really worry about China,” Mr Immelt told an audience of top Italian executives in Rome, accusing the Chinese government of becoming increasingly protectionist. “I am not sure that in the end they want any of us to win, or any of us to be successful."....

“China and India remain important for GE but I am thinking about what is next,” he said, mentioning what he called “most interesting resource-rich countries” in the Middle East, Africa, Latin America plus Indonesia. “They don’t all want to be colonised by the Chinese. They want to develop themselves,” he said. The comments echo a rising chorus of complaints from foreign business groups in China about the regulatory environment they face.

Gideon Rachman notes that Immelt is hardly alone in his complaints:

[W]hen Google, Goldman Sachs, and GE all run into difficulties simultaneously, it seems clear that a bigger trend is at work. Privately, senior US officials have been worrying for some time that Chinese trade and economic policy is taking a more nationalist direction that is penalising US companies. They worry that, after 30 years of strong economic growth, China believes it can now afford to take a less welcoming attitude to foreign investment, and instead concentrate on promoting national champions.

What's interesting is that European firms are now joining in the chorus of complaints. Furthermore, as Jamil Anderlini notes, they're not doing it in private dinners -- they're blasting the Chinese leadership publicly and directly:

Two of Germany’s most prominent industrialists have attacked the business and investment climate in China during a meeting with Wen Jiabao, the Chinese premier.

The criticism from the businessmen, the chief executives of Siemens and BASF, came against a backdrop of rising discontent among foreign businesses operating in China.

The German executives’ comments were all the more striking as they were made directly to the Chinese premier, and in public, as part of Angela Merkel’s four-day state visit to the country.

Jürgen Hambrecht, chief executive of BASF, the chemical producer, hit out at restrictions on foreign business and complained of foreign companies being forced to transfer business and technological know-how to Chinese companies in exchange for market access.

“That does not exactly correspond to our views of a partnership,” Mr Hambrecht told Mr Wen at the weekend meeting in the western Chinese city of Xi’an.

Addressing government procurement practices, a recent area of complaint by foreign executives and governments, Peter Loescher, chief executive of Siemens, the industrial conglomerate, said foreign companies operating in China “expect to find equal conditions in the fields of public tenders”.

Mr Loescher, who is also chairman of the Asia-Pacific Committee of German Business, called on Beijing rapidly to remove trade and investment restrictions in sectors such as automobiles and financial services.

BASF and Siemens had combined sales in greater China of more than €9bn ($11.6bn) last year and employ more than 36,000 people in the area.

Mr Wen responded to the criticism by telling Mr Hambrecht to calm down, insisting that China remained open to foreign investment and did not discriminate against foreign companies. “Currently there is an allegation that China’s investment environment is worsening. I think it is untrue,” Mr Wen said.

Alan Beattie and the ubiquitous Mr. Anderlini provide some general context for the latest venting:

The risk-reward calculation between staying quiet and speaking up has shifted towards the latter. With China employing policies including ignoring intellectual property rights, forced technology transfer and government procurement skewed towards domestic companies, some foreign businesses feel they are being pushed out of the country. “We are feeling less and less welcome in China, which is why you are seeing more people speaking out and reconsidering their futures in China,” says John Neuffer of the US Information Technology Industry Council.

Business leaders say Beijing’s appetite for more liberalisation of foreign investment has waned after a rapid burst of reform around China’s accession to the World Trade Organisation in 2001. So even when current policies only represent a standstill, they feel like going backwards.

At best, current policies are moving very slowly towards liberalization. The good news is that China is seeking to join the WTO's Government Procurement Agreement, which liberalizes trade among participating countries for government-commissioned projects. The bad news is that China's latest offer is half-assed tokenism underwhelming in terms of what's on offer, and likely to be rejected by the US and EU.

So, why is China suddenly so hostile towards western multinationals? The simple realpolitik answer is that China is simply more powerful than it used to be, and its flexing its muscles now because it has them. In the Wall Street Journal, David Wessel offered a revealing anecdote that suggests President Obama shares this quasi-relative gains view:

Mr. Obama, who took office in an economy far worse and far more hostile to trade than the one Mr. Clinton inherited, appears less convinced of the virtues of free trade per se. He loves exports, easily sold as creating jobs. But he seems to view world trade like a basketball game: He wants to win, and doesn't like feeling that others are taking advantage of his team. He needles aides who worked in the Clinton administration that they let China into the WTO with a better hand than the one he has to play. Aides counter that China would be even more of a threat if not bound by WTO rules. He is unpersuaded....

Mr. Obama's trade strategy is becoming clearer. In international forums, as he did at the Copenhagen climate-change talks, he is arguing that China is posing as a developing country even though it has grown up and needs to be treated like the economic powerhouse it is. At home, he knows—no matter what his economists tell him—that neither voters nor Democrats in Congress will be convinced that free trade is good for them. So he is styling himself as a tough bargainer, who can beat other countries at their own game.

Obama could be right, but on one key dimension his bargaining hand will actually be stronger than those of past presidents. China, by continuing to alienate and frustrate western multinational corporations, is also effectively weakening the strongest pro-China lobbies in both Washington and Brussels. As Rachman notes:

Were it not for the power of big business, the relationship between the US and China might have gone sour years ago. There are forces on both sides of the Pacific – Chinese nationalists, American trade unionists, the military establishments of both countries – that would be happy with a more adversarial relationship. For the past generation it has been US multinationals that have made the counter-argument – that a stronger and more prosperous China could be good for America.

So it is ominous, not just for business but for international politics, that corporate America is showing increasing signs of disillusionment with China....

In the past, American business has acted as the single biggest constraint on an anti-Chinese backlash in the US. If companies such as GE, Google and Goldman Sachs qualify their support for China or refuse to speak up, the protectionist bandwagon will gather speed.

The Chinese government, of course, is not stupid. China’s growing confidence in dealing with the US, and the world in general, is still matched by a cautious desire to avoid conflict. At strategic moments, the Chinese government is likely to make tactical concessions – whether on Google or the currency – in an effort to head off a damaging conflict with the US. But with American business and the American public increasingly restive, the risks of miscalculation are growing.

And here I must dissent from Rachman. In some ways, I do think the Chinese government has been pretty stupid over the past year in executing its "Pissing Off As Many Countries As Possible" strategy. China rankled the Europeans over its climate change diplomacy at Copenhagen. For all of Beijing's bluster, it failed to alter U.S. policies on Tibet and Taiwan. It backed down on the Google controversy. It overestimated the power that comes with holding U.S. debt. It alienated South Korea and Japan over its handling of the Cheonan incident, leading to joint naval exercises with the United States -- exactly what China didn't want. It's growing more isolated within the G-20. And, increasingly, no one trusts its economic data.

This doesn't sound like a government that has executed a brilliant grand strategy. It sounds like a country that's benefiting from important structural trends, while frittering away its geopolitical advantages. Alienating key supporters in the country's primary export markets -- and even if Chinese consumption is rising, exports still matter an awful lot to the Chinese economy -- seems counterproductive to China's long-term strategic and economic interests.

Developing.... in a very interesting way.

Alexander F. Yuan-Pool/Getty Images

 
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DANI K. NEDAL

6:23 PM ET

July 20, 2010

China: be there or be square

Let's not exaggerate foreign companies' feelings toward China. GE was quick to disavow Immelt's comments and Immelt himself has largely taken back what he said. Google has also softened it's tone in recent months and AmCham China's latest white paper goes through great lengths to note that despite growing doubts about the business environment "China remains a bright spot in the global economy".

Even though some companies have indeed felt increasingly constrained, China is still their prime destination as prospects for growth keep relatively solid and the much awaited Chinese consumer market start to finally blossom.

Protectionism is at a high not only in China, but also in developed and other developing countries. China is being singled out precisely because it has become such an integral and important part of these companies' operations. They won't be ditching China any time soon, and they'll learn to live with a slightly less friendly business environment in the short term. In the longer term, I am not convinced we have seen the death of the reform process in China...

dani.nedal@strc.com.br

 

AND REW

11:34 PM ET

July 20, 2010

RE

China soon will have enough votes and supporters to make its way through most difficulties and actions proposed by the West in international institutions.

 

SAINTSIMON

12:33 AM ET

July 21, 2010

I believe that 20, 30 years

I believe that 20, 30 years from now the key talking point will be about how the West responded to the 'China threat' - whether we confronted them and their practices or whether we allowed the profit motive to completely overwhelm our strategic thinking. Writing from Canada I'll give you a perfect example of this - we are portrayed as one of the worst violators of infringements on copy righted material etc - the fact is this abuse is almost entirely carried out by our large Chinese community - no official wants to say that of course for fear of being called a racist etc etc but the reality is almost all the pirating of copyrighted material in Canada originates in our various 'China towns', primarily in Toronto and Vancouver - there's a guy comes by the business i own every week offering up bootlegged first run films and I ask him where do you get this shit from and he says "ah, I just go down to China town, they're all over the place" - you take this micro phenomenon and apply it on a macro scale and you've got the Chinese economic miracle - and the scary part is no one wants to address this reality because there's so much money to be made in the Chinese market - and of course China is entirely aware of this dynamic.

 

XTIANGODLOKI

7:17 PM ET

July 21, 2010

Sounds like a racist to me

Most of the piracy in the world comes from BitTorrents not Chinatowns you dolt.

 

STACEY84

5:38 AM ET

July 22, 2010

agree

yes mate agree with you its from Bit torrents

 

TOMHE

12:43 AM ET

July 21, 2010

no evil plot

The author seems assuming that Chinese had an evil plot against the west. I believe this is a wrong assumption. There may be a few Chinese strategists who are calling for such a plot. But I doubt its feasibility. China does not have capacities to manipulate the issues that the author mentioned;China, more or less, is reacting to what happened.

 

MICHAELTURTON

12:56 AM ET

July 21, 2010

Left out....

....Japan. With a weakly pro-China government that was busy searching for ways to reduce the US presence on okinawa, at a time when the Japanese people had all sorts of warm fuzzies for Beijing, all Beiing had to do was go on a charm offensive, a buying trip, engage in cultural exchanges, etc, and woo the Japanese from their attachment to the Yankee imperialist. At worst, they merely needed to lay low and do nothing and let the base issue be decided in a way advantageous to Beijing. Instead, China sailed a flotilla up near Japan, chased a Japanese vessel out of "disputed" waters, and buzzed other Japanese ships with helicopters. The result was predictable.

 

PUBLICUS

8:15 AM ET

July 21, 2010

Broad and Deep

The criticism of Beijing's arrogance comes from the American Chamber of Commerce in Beijing, the European Chamber of Commerce in China, the Asia and Pacific Committeee of German Business, the US Information Technology Industry Council, Siemens, BASF, Goldman Sachs, Google.........this list has become pretty long, broad and deep. It's not GE alone.

Dr Drezner's statement is accurate that Beijing has assumed a new arrogance of recklessly adopting a "Pissing Off As Many Countries As Possible" strategy.

And the writer is correct when he says: "China rankled the Europeans over its climate change diplomacy at Copenhagen. For all of Beijing's bluster, it failed to alter U.S. policies on Tibet and Taiwan. It backed down on the Google controversy. It overestimated the power that comes with holding U.S. debt. It alienated South Korea and Japan over its handling of the Cheonan incident, leading to joint naval exercises with the United States -- exactly what China didn't want. It's growing more isolated within the G-20. And, increasingly, no one trusts its economic data."

My boss in Hong Kong, a Chinese who is an UK educated lawyer and millionaire a dozen times over said to me a year ago that "the communists [in Beijing] have become arrogant" in their newfound riches. However, developing China constitutes only some 500 000 000 Chinese in a crescent from Beijing and along the East Coast down to Macao, while 800 000 000 Chinese inland live in abject poverty on less than USD $2 a day - this is not a sound basis of an arrogance.

Thousands of years of the Chinese being closed to the cultures and societies of the world have made the PRChinese inborn, inbred, ingrown, ignorant. We see some of the consequences the Chinese have inflicted on themselves these past few milennia described accurately by Dr Drezner.

The Boys in Beijing are blustering and blundering their way through the modern world, the proverbial bull in the China shoppe.

 

PUBLICUS

3:16 AM ET

July 23, 2010

Beijing Flacks

Of course the PRC stays out of the affairs of other countries. So is this why some PRC vice something is in Australia today to lecture Australians on Beijing's mining interests down under?

Beijing is aghast and the CPC in Beijing is storming about due to the ruling yesterday by the International Court of Justice that Kosovo's Declaration of Independence from Serbia three years ago is not in violation of international law. This landmark ruling, which the PRC and Russia opposed before it was issued, and continue to oppose vehemently, brings hope to the oppressed and repressed in Tibet and XianJiang provice - it well could impact PR-Taiwan relations. I'm looking forward to Tibet and the Muslim, Turkic speaking people of XinJiang each issuing its own Declaration of Independence. After all, if Ho Chi Minh quoted from the US Declaration of Independence when N Vietnam achieved sovereignty, why not Tibet and XinJiang issuing their own?

The long isolated Chinese, closed for thousands of years to the cultures and societies of the world, are klutzes in internationa intercouse so, as we now see, are losing standing fast in the boardrooms of miltinationals from Europe to North America to Australia. It is true that the principal reason the populations of Western democracies have accepted their governments dealing with the authoritarian fascists in Beijing is that it's been presented as good for global trade and domestic jobs - though this thesis is met with some great skepticism by domestic labor markets. Now Beijing's arrogance is bringing an end to that always shaky justification. Soon Western parliaments and Congresses in the Americas will be enacting laws to limit the PRC in global affairs.

The problem the PRC brings on itself is not that it invades or attacks other countries, although Beijing buys influence in the most corrupt dictatorships of the Global South especially. Beijing's problem is that it arrogantly and stupidly demands multinational corporations IN CHINA to conform to its own sovereign laws.

So what's wrong with that, you will ask? The problem is obvious: the sovereign laws of the People's Republic of China establish and enforce censorship, arbitrary law and rulemaking, one-sided technology transfers or purchases, promote and defend the interests of the ruling communist party, shelter IP violators etc etc. The sovereign laws of the PRC are the sovereign laws of a fascist state.

China is a freak nation of 1 400 000 000 people, an unmanagable number. It has a one party government which indoctrinates the sheeple of the population to believe only the communist party can govern China - the latter being true up to a point. Up to what point? To the point that only the communist party can govern present day China because the present PRChina occupies Tibet and XinJiang and must oppress and repress. The CPC can govern China only if the Chinese sheeple accept that censorship is good and necessary. Why is censorship and control of knowledge and information goodand necesary to China? Because it's good for the Communist Party of China.

This tautology leaves the dog chasing its tail, which is how we can describe the future of the PRC as global multinationals abandon it, thus leaving Beijing high and dry as the communists in Beijing cannot control the ICJ or other international institutions. The multinationals are seeing to that now.

 

MEGAKIDS

10:16 AM ET

July 28, 2010

Reply to : PUBLICUS I read

Reply to : PUBLICUS

I read many of your posts. When you start using extreme phrases, you lose your credibility.

"Thousands of years of the Chinese being closed to the cultures and societies of the world have made the PRChinese inborn, inbred, ingrown, ignorant." Such hateful language should not come out from a well-educated person like yourself, who also has a Chinese boss in Hong Kong. Calling 1.4 billion people "freaks"? Where are your manners man? Haven't your parents from great superior civilization taught you something basic? What a shame!

 

PUBLICUS

5:49 PM ET

July 30, 2010

Thank you MEGAKIDS , but.....

First, thanks for reading many of my posts, altho it is clear you get nothing from them as they zoom over you consistently.

Second, what's with this silly terminology of a great superior civilization and dragging my parents into it as they haven't anything to do with my views towards the present CPC/PRC - my mother in fact liked the Soviet Union while my WW II veteran father, a kid during the war, ignored her crackpot views.

I've stated that China and India are freak nations, that each and together they are uniquely apart from the world of nations. No single country or group of countries, however identified, have anything in common with the two in-a-league-of-their own countries of China and India. The populations of these two countries alone total 2 500 000 000 people or one-third of we who share this planet (admittedly not very well - - in fact, rather shabbily).

China must assert dictatorship over its population of 1 400 000 000 of ethnicities, nationalities and Chinese who speak many different Chinese languages which are incomprehensible to many other Chinese. China is not a nation state but rather an empire state that rules over nation states, such as Tibet and XinJiang, while half the population of China lives on UDS $2 a day or less. The ruling CPC censors, distorts reality to its population, violently represses and daily suppresses its population claiming that only the CPC can rule such a country. Well, this is probaly so, but the road the CPC/PRC is traveling hasn't any outlet, only a brick wall.

In the modern world the PRC, as with the Middle Kingdom, its emperors and dynasties is on a one-way track to eventual disintegration and dissolution, just at a greatly accelerated pace than were the dynasties. The present leadership of the PRC consists simply of an extension of the emperors and their dynasties - it's just that Pu Yi was the last to wear the robes. Indeed, in his final years, Pu Yi found himself hand in glove with Jo En Lai and the CPC as the organization in charge of the new empire of Beijing and its imperial conquering government. This continuity continues to be a recipe for disaster.

China as it exists post the May 4th Movement (1912-1919) is ungovernable under any form of government. There was never really any choice between Chiang Kai Shek the corporate fascist or Mao the fascist communist.

India is another freak nation but has an Anglo inspired and model of parliamentary democracy, and thereby has established ideals and principles for its government to live up to. The huge population of India can and do demand change peacefully at the ballot box in a remarkable system of voting in regular elections that are based on geographic regions of the country and are conducted over a concentrated, well respected and managed period of time. The caste system is being dismantled. The extant Congress-led government was elected because the rural poor rightfully demanded due attention from Delhi and are getting it absent the elite and unseen conflicts as exist in Beijing between the self-centered and uncaring Princelings of the developing Eastern urban centers and the Populists of the rural peasant countryside.

China and India are both freak nations, but a democrat can see a hope for India, while for authoritarian China there is only more continuing chaos and disorder in store.

 

LOYD ESKILDSON

10:31 PM ET

July 21, 2010

CEOs Complaining About China

The article's thrust, that China has done something dumb and made foreign CEOs mad, is undermined by the fact that foreign investment in China has reached record levels - expected to hit $100 billion this year, up from $60 billion recently, and highest for any nation in the world. Further, more companies are setting up R&D shops in China than in the U.S.

 

UMESHGEETA

5:27 AM ET

July 22, 2010

Chinese Colonies

Interesting take. Generally it is hard to believe Business Community. In the end they are supposed to care more about money, so not sure how much to read into their temporary anger with China. We will see. Except for most businesses boycotting S. Africa in apartheid era, I believe there are quite less examples where business community is ready to walk away from short term profit.

This aside, one devilish thought is; there is one area where Americans would not mind or rather love to, Chinese to create colonies - Afghanistan for it's minerals and Pakistan by proxy.

So far in the historical context Muslim Fundamentalism and Chinese Communist State have not collided so explicitly and head on. All indications are that the Han race dominant Chinese Communist Party and Chinese State would 'tame' Taliban. What is not to love when Al Qeda is talking about Chinese Communist Party rather than America?

And if China indeed succeeds in making Afghanistan as a peaceful client state; Chinese Sphere of influence would increase as well as their global influence too; but American bleeding will stop.

Should America think about this trade?

 

PUBLICUS

3:28 AM ET

July 23, 2010

UMESHGEETA

What do you smoke? Sounds like some really powerful stuff.

The US is working to include the Taliban as a stakeholder in the govrnment of Afghanistan.

The PRChinese in Afghanistan surely would get India involved in in-counrty counter insurgency and take India adn Pakistan closer to war; India and China closer to war; Israel closer to bombing Iran's nuclear progrram.......one could go on.......

That stuff you smoke is much too powerful for you, so give it up now..

 

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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