Wednesday, November 10, 2010 - 10:55 AM
You know, as insults go, this one is pretty bush league:
China's credit-rating agency on Tuesday downgraded its rating for U.S. sovereign debt and warned of further cuts, in a pointed move ahead of this week's Group of 20 major economies meeting.
Dagong Global Credit Rating Co. Ltd., the only wholly Chinese-owned rating agency, cut its rating on U.S. debt to A from AA, citing the Federal Reserve's move last week to initiate another round of asset buying, worth $600 billion. It also placed the U.S. sovereign credit rating on negative watch.
"The new round of quantitative easing monetary policy adopted by the Federal Reserve has brought about an obvious trend of depreciation of the U.S. dollar and the continuation and deepening of credit crisis in the U.S.," Dagong said.
"Such a move entirely encroaches on the interests of the creditors, indicating the decline of the U.S. government's intention of debt repayment," the agency said.
Sounds very, very serious, until we get to this part of the story:
The downgrade of the U.S. rating by Dagong comes just over a month after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission denied the firm's application to officially rate bonds in the U.S.
At that time, Dagong called the SEC's move discriminatory and said it was considering legal action.
The SEC said in denying the application that "it does not appear possible at this time for Dagong to comply with the record keeping, production and examination requirements of the federal securities laws."
Indeed, even the New York Times' now-thrice-weekly story about rising Sino-American tensions observes:
In the rest of the world, the United States is still the strongest of credit risks, and the Chinese downgrade is not expected to have much real impact....
[T]hose critics, mostly countries that fear that recent American policy will devalue the dollar and undercut their competitiveness, do not appear poised to offer an alternative to an economic order that has been led by the United States since the end of World War II, or to the role the dollar has played for decades as the de facto world gold standard.
The Chinese, who have protested that the Federal Reserve is trying to unilaterally manipulate the dollar for the purpose of creating jobs at home, have been accused of doing exactly that for years - the root of many of the world's economic tensions today, in the eyes of Mr. Obama and his economic aides.
Look, clearly China is suffering from... an insult gap. Americans have been leading the world in trash-talking for decades now. China is trying hard to catch up, but I think the authorities in Beijing need some assistance in their game of catch-up.
I hereby call on all readers to offer, in the comments, ways that Chinese authorities can really sharpen their rhetorical jabs at the United States. In the spirit of kicking off the conversation, here are a few suggestions:
"Chinese Halitosis Institute Downgrades American Fresh Breath Index to BB: 'Seriously, What's The Deal With All The BBQ,' Asks Agency Head"
"Chinese Election Monitors Accuse Obama Administration of Rampant Ballot Fraud During Midterm Elections: 'It's No Myanmar, I'll Say That' According to Chief Monitor"
"Chinese Dietary Institute says American Food Leaves Them Hungry After Only 12 Hours"
Go to it.
EXPLORE:GLOBALIZATION, CHINA, FINANCE, U.S. FOREIGN POLICY, BRETTON WOODS II, CHINA, DOLLAR, G-20, GREAT POWER POLITICS, UNITED STATES
People sometimes miss the forest for the trees. Dan's post here misses the forest to find something funny about the bark.
The story here is the unintended consequences that might flow from a move made by the Fed out of desperation. With the incoming Congress dead set against doing anything to stimulate demand, Chairman Bernanke and his associates are attempting to restart growth by making money cheaper.
There's nothing else the Fed can do, faced with an economy that looks like it will feature nearly 10% unemployment and underemployment half again as high as far as the eye can see. Will it contribute to restarting growth? And what kind of growth is it most likely to stimulate? Obviously, we'd like to see "QE2" result in cheaper American exports, and maybe it will. However, the major intended beneficiaries of lower long-term interest rates are the depressed home construction and real estate industries, the unsustainable growth of which during the bubble years helped get us in this fix in the first place.
Is that really desirable? Are we down to attempts to reflate asset bubbles as the only way to reduce unemployment? Are we sure we know the consequences to our global economic position of a step that signals clearly that devaluing America's overseas debt is the main tool we will use to deal with our trade imbalance?
I don't blame Bernanke for wanting to try something. Perhaps if Congress weren't so inert, he wouldn't have to. But just because the Fed feels it has to do something doesn't mean what it is doing will work.
I already talked about the forest in the last two posts. This one is for the tree bark!
The last two posts touched on paralysis in global governance forums and the access of financial markets to emerging economies.
I think we're discussing different forests.
Bloggers Get To Choose Their Topics
Zathras:
I if the last few years have taught us anything, it is a need to laugh, because a serious evaluation of policy non-stop is usually going to result in a long and unproductive cry.
First all Mr. Z, you think you got game?
Your arguments, they ain’t shit but lame.
Why hate on D.D., why you gotta shame?
Trying to, steal a small piece of fame.
Now if you will, I’ll deconstruct your hate rap,
Show our whole audience your meaningless crap,
Til they laugh your ass off, back to the back,
Of a stage you cheated your way on to attack,
I’ll start small, make it easy for you to comprehend,
When I’m done, to my mentality you’ll bend.
You said “there’s nothing the fed can do,
faced with an economy that”, stinks like poo,
Dude you late! D.D. said this two!
If you read his blog, you’d have a clue!
Huh, “congress dead” is that your diagnosis?
I could’a told you that, it’s an economic crisis!
Yea yea, you talk big like you got mad analysis,
But all I can see is questions, you stuck in paralysis!
Truly nothing new, you’re sounding bitchy,
What is it really? Scared of the boundary?
No originality, integrity or honesty,
...Your words are empty, like false prophecy.
You talking bout forests, you talking bout trees,
What’s next man? The birds and the bees?
You’re getting old, you caught the disease.
I think Dan D’s fresh, he repping zombies!
Last just remember, the business cycle is true,
Recessions are seasonal, just like the flu.
Now you’ve been beaten by my lyrical kung-fu
You're a "Shook One" this is Part Two:
Rap is good fun, but before I carry your body away,
So is knowledge. Let’s get back to it, let us not stray,
After all, China’s news, and not just in the Beltway
And I’d love to tour, visit... Maybe. Someday.
So urgh.. what is this great Sino-mystery?
Simply more ammo for the Populist armory?
Well, it’s a big deal for me, especially as an Aussie,
China’s demand for commodities, saved us from the G.F.C.
They used to make baskets, used to like weaving,
That is, until they stepped into the industrial ring.
Building up manufacturing, until they became king,
Now they are the world’s first in exporting!
“But why is this bad? Why all the worry?”
Wait. That ain’t the end of the Chinese story.
You see now they’re out, chasing The Glory,
Mearsheimer calls it, “A Great Power Tragedy”
Stockpiling rare earths, building up inventory,
Ninety five percent, trust me, that wasn't aleatory!
So what has been done, to contain the rise?
Or should we encourage China, loosen the vise?
Let them get Liberal, democratically wise?
Or is that letting down arms while they’re in disguise?
Well for that, Walt and Drezner, you’ll have to read,
Widely, critically, deeply, yes indeed,
For after all my short rap is just a lead,
Remember, don’t just follow the predominant creed!
But shit, I’m not on point, D. wanted rhetorical jabs,
Fuck, suppose it’s time to lay down metaphorical slabs,
“China’s Economy in a Land Grab,
The U.S. Just Entered Rehab”
“Chinese Parties Are Wild, We Eating Crab,
Oi Americans, Your Parties Are Drab”
“Donkey’s and Elephants, The Best You Can Do?
We Drop The Hammer, Carve You With Sickles Too”
“Our Billions May Be Hungry But At Least They Got Game,
Unlike Your Millions, On Welfare, So Lame”
“Obama Loves Talks, He’s Yapping Away,
We Use Trade Imbalance In Order To Gain Sway”
“That’s Enough, We Don’t Need to Shoot You On The Airway,
“Iraq, Afghanistan, Shoot Yourself, You’ll Find A Way”
So Mr. D, tell me what you think of what you see,
It’s h.atalay3 at gmail, please, hit me.
This rap is crap, not Biggy, Pac or Jay-Z,
I just enjoy verse with twisted Realist mentality.
In all fairness:
"China’s leading credit agency the Dagong Global Rating Company has *once again* marked down America’s ability to repay its debt. For the second time in four months, the agency has wielded the knife on the US’ credit ranking, downgrading it from AA to A+. The latest downgrade reflects America’s deteriorating repayment capacity, Dagong said, adding that *the country’s second round of quantitative easing is unlikely to help its situation*." Link: Chinese credit agency slaps US with another downgrade
Moreover currency manipulation looks like being the main event at this week's G20 global economic forum, such is the widespread concern in much of the world. Hopefully the grouping will get round to investigating thoroughly the reasons for the destruction of global monetary discipline in 1971, which led to this sorry state of affairs.
"Chinese Water Quality Institute notes Chinese toys contaminated with lead after being washed in Washington, DC municipal water."
Chinese family planning authorities say US going bankrupt supporting children created by licentious American practice of 'Breeding like drunken rabbits on spring break'"
Dan,
I thought I told you, stop writing about China. You really know nothing about China. It never occurred to you that there's a strategic and efficient method to China's perceived madness.
It's a waste of time for me to explain it all, you're incapable of understanding China. Don't you ever ask yourself why and how is it that China's making slow and methodical gains in the world yet you some how question its every move?
Seriously, do me a favor, stop writing about China before I have to quit reading FP.
"We don't really care about SEC's ruling cause pretty soon it will be marginalized and irrelevant in the global market."
The American's failure to achieve a balanced economy can only be taken as a sign of inferior intelligence and a callous disregard for their descendants?
China Should Look to the Past For Insults In The Future
The Chinese have the reputation of honoring their past, and should look to their rich archives in developing appropriate slings and arrows for the profligate American empire.Here are some golden oldies from Chariman Mao on bureaucracy that could be applied to Trade Officials, White House Officials, and Congressional Aides:
They are conceited, complacent, and they aimlessly discuss politics. They do not grasp their work, they are subjective and one-sided; they are careless; they do not listen to people; they are truculent and arbitrary; they force orders; they do not care about reality; they maintain blind control."
"Documents are numerous; there is red tape; instructions proliferate; there are numerous unread reports that are not criticized; many tables and schedules are drawn up and are not used; meetings are numerous and nothing is passed on; and there are many close associations but nothing is learned."
"They are stupid; they are confused; they do not have a mind of their own; they are rotten sensualists; they glut themselves for days on end; they are not diligent at all, they are inconstant and they are ignorant. "
"They seek pleasure and fear hardships; they engage in back door deals; one person becomes an official and the entire family benefits; one person reaches nirvana and all his close associates rise up to heaven"
(see http://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/mao/selected-works/volume-9/mswv9_85.htm. These are a part of Mao's 20 Manifestations of Bureaucracy.)
Something a bit more interesting to me is the question of why the New York Times prints so many stories about Sino-American tensions (and inevitable attempts to find stories of anti-Sino Asian alliances) that never really say anything new.
Funny; On QE, debate elsewhere
Zathras, if you want to debate the merits of QE, why don't you go over and rant at Scott Sumner's site? I think he might have a rejoinder or two for you.
America is Ugly and dresses funny
America is so Ugly, Canada had to tie a Pork Chop Around its Neck so the dog will play with it.
America is so fat, it sweats butter
America's mother was a hampster and its father smelled of elderberries!
Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.
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