Posted By Daniel W. Drezner Share

Hmmm.... this is interesting:

Nations on the front lines of the old Cold War divide made clear here Saturday that they want the Senate to ratify the new U.S.-Russia nuclear treaty, and said that Republican concerns about their well-being were misplaced.

In an unannounced group appearance at the end of an administration background briefing on Afghanistan, six European foreign ministers took the stage with a message for Congress.

"Don't stop START before it's started," Bulgarian Foreign Minister Nickolay Mladenov said.

Conservative Republican senators have said the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, or New START, signed early last year, needs more work and have rejected the administration's hopes of bringing it to a vote in the lame duck session before the end of the year.

The ministers insisted that Obama administration officials, some of whom stood at the back of the room as they spoke, did not put them up to the appeal. All are here participating in the NATO summit.

"I'm the one who initiated this initiative," Danish Foreign Minister Lene Espersen said. The idea, she said, was to "at least make the Republican Party [aware] of how important this is."

In addition to being her country's foreign minister, Espersen said with some indignation, "I'm also the chairman of the Conservative Party of Denmark. Nobody can ever accuse me of being soft on security."

"We're all conservatives," Hungarian Foreign Minister Janos Martonyi added.

So is this:

Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski had endorsed the treaty Friday, saying a failure to ratify it this year "will embolden those in Moscow who would rather have the West as an enemy than as a partner – and who thus would like to see the tenuous progress made in recent months to be undone."

And this:

Two major Jewish groups came out Friday in favor of ratification of the START treaty.

Both the Anti-Defamation League (ADL) and the National Jewish Democratic Council (NJDC) cited the importance of passage of the U.S.-Russian nuclear arms reduction treaty in order to maintain American-Russian cooperation in pressuring Iran to curtail its nuclear program.

"We are deeply concerned that failure to ratify the New START treaty will have national security consequences far beyond the subject of the treaty itself," the ADL said in a letter sent to every senator Friday.

"The U.S. diplomatic strategy to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons requires a U.S.-Russia relationship of trust and cooperation," ADL continued. "The severe damage that could be inflicted on that relationship by failing to ratify the treaty would inevitably hamper effective American international leadership to stop the Iranian nuclear weapons program."

The National Jewish Democratic Council, meantime, issued a statement Friday urging citizens to call Senate Minority Whip Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) and tell "him to put politics aside, and join the broad bipartisan consensus behind START."

Will this have any effect on START's ratification chances?  Earlier this week Fred Kaplan observed that passage might still be a possibility:

If Kyl thinks that the treaty will get ratified anyway—or that, if it doesn't get ratified, he will lose all the extra money for nuclear modernization—then maybe he'll jump onboard. That way he could preserve his standing as a security hawk and, perhaps more important, an effective power broker.

Of course, he and his colleagues in the Republican leadership might think it's more important to deny Obama any victory, to make him seem ineffective and thus erode his chances of re-election in 2012 (the GOP's No. 1 priority, according to Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell). If that's what ends up happening, at least Obama will know the name of the game for the next two years—and, maybe, figure out how to play it.

The first couple of stories suggest that maybe, just maybe, the GOP would pay a price for out-and-out obstructionism -- and let's be blunt, that's really what Kyl's behavior is at this point.  Sure, pissing off France or South Korea comes with few downsides for U.S. Senators, but Poland and other former Warsaw Pact countries are another kettle of fish.  If neoconservatives Jews Eastern Europeans powerful interest groups within the GOP have bigger fish to fry than relations with Russia, then they will make life somewhat more difficult to Republican Senators.   Just how much more difficult remains to be seen, however. 

Developing....

 

ANTIMKO

4:19 AM ET

November 21, 2010

stalling Obama's initiative, the neocon way

because passing START would have prove once again that neocon foreign policy has failed time and time again.

 

DANIEL W. DREZNER

2:58 PM ET

November 21, 2010

Actually, no...

Many -- though not all -- neoconservatives want START ratified.  Their logic is that Russia is not nearly the same degree of concern as Iran, and a failure to ratify START will make it easier for Russia to play spoiler with respect to Iran. 

 

UMESHGEETA

1:08 AM ET

November 22, 2010

Well, Obama does not get it....

Kaplan says - "If that's what ends up happening, at least Obama will know the name of the game for the next two years—and, maybe, figure out how to play it. "

I doubt that. Obama may be knowing the game GOP is playing but with his confused mind and defeatist tendencies he is perfectly willing to get played by Republicans.

Otherwise for example, he would not have been senselessly ready to call truce with Chamber of Commerce (http://www.politico.com/politico44/perm/1110/making_up_3509c592-31ae-49ed-aa95-1a3e0de33084.html) as if he does not have any other effective ways to improve relations with Business Communities.

Obama will say shamelessly come Jan that he will continue to try hard to pass the START with new Senate; after Sen. Kyl and McConnell have completed this humiliation by year end.

START treaty, his refusal to bring the vote on lame duck Senate session because of the fear of GOP and missing an opportunity to expose Republicans; all this point to what Krugman is saying - http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/21/fdr-reagan-and-obama/

The guy is simply no good as he refuses to play any hardball to achieve the goals. By not playing 'hardball' and playing Gandhi; sadly he is not going to get anything and a collateral damage to Americans will be to land up with misguided policies (like not ratifying START).

In short, yes GOP is playing wrong here; but Obama is not doing politically what he needed to do in the first place. More and more he seems to be a lost cause for the good of Americans. Quite a damaged goods and possibly past expiry date not only for Liberals but for overall America too.

 

BLUE13326

1:46 PM ET

November 22, 2010

Since when are Jews -- who

Since when are Jews -- who voted like 75% for Obama -- a powerful constituency in the Republican party?

Interesting article in WaPo about how Obama's Russia policy seems stuck in the left's version of the 1980s when he was a Columbia undergraduate faithfully peddling the Soviet Union's line on the nuclear freeze.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/21/AR2010112102263.html

 

APPALLED MODERATE

1:56 PM ET

November 22, 2010

The lessons of 1995 Lost on the GOP?

Politically, this seems stupid. This allows Obama to look moderate and the Republicans to look like froth mouthed Gingrich-ites. And this does not seem to be a red meat issue for the Tea Party.

So why is the GOP doing it? Any ideas?

Seriously, what is Kyl trying to accomplish?

 

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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