I know I said I would post by book choices for aspiring senators/presidential candidates yesterday, but current events forced a slight delay.  So, you know the contest:  "if you had to pick three books for an ambitious U.S. politician to read in order to bone up on foreign affairs, what would they be?"  You now know (and are less than thrilled with) the readers' selections.  Below are my choices. 

My selections were based on three fundamental premises.  The first is that politicians do not lack in self-confidence.  This is an important leadership trait, but when it comes to foreign policy, some awareness of The Things That Can Go Wrong is really important.  So my choices try to stress the pitfalls of bad decision-making. 

The second assumption is that trying to force-feed social science principles onto a politico is a futile enterprise -- any decent advisor should provide that role.  What's more important is exposing politicians to the different schools of thought that they will encounter in foreign policy debates.  As with the zombie book, the idea is that by familiarizing individuals to the different theoretical approaches, they can recognize a realist or neoconservative argument when they hear it.  They should then be able to recall how well or how badly these approaches have done in the past, and think about the logical conclusions to each approach. 

Finally, these are American politicians, which means that they are genuinely interested in Americana and American history.  Books that can connect current foreign policy debates to past ones will resonate better. 

So, with that set-up, my three choices:

1)  Walter Russell Mead, Special Providence.  An excellent introduction to the myriad strains of thought that have permeated American foreign policy over the past two and a half centuries.  International relations theorists might quibble with Mead's different intellectual traditions, but I suspect politicians will immediately "get" them. 

2)  David Halberstam, The Best and the Brightest (for Democrats); James Mann, Rise of the Vulcans (for Republicans).  Americans have a long and bipartisan history of Mongolian clusterf**ks in foreign policy.  Each side should read about their greatest foreign policy mistake of the past century to appreciate that even the best and smartest advisors in the world will not necessarily translate into wise foreign policies. 

3)  Richard Neustadt and Earnest May, Thinking in Time.  Politicians like to claim that they don't cotton to abstract academic theories of the world, that they rely on things like "common sense"  and "folk wisdom."  This is a horses**t answer that's code for, "if I encounter a new situation, I'll think about a historical parallel and use that to guide my thinking."  Neustadt and May's book does an excellent job of delineating the various ways that the history can be abused in presidential decision-making. 

 Obviously, I'd want politicians to read more books after these three -- but as a first set of foreign policy primers, I'm comfortable with these choices. 

If you want to hear more about this, go and listen to my bloggingheads exchange with NSN's Heather Hurlburt on this very question. 

 

SCOTT WEDMAN

1:20 PM ET

May 3, 2011

Great choices

Nice list. I like it.

 

ZATHRAS

2:51 PM ET

May 4, 2011

I appreciate Dan's selection

I appreciate Dan's selection of a couple of volumes here of history, or at least historyish material.

I wonder at the absence of 1) anything written by someone who has done foreign policy, as opposed to having merely observed it as an academic or journalist, and 2) anything that might provide some guidance as to how to succeed in this field. Success, after all, is not merely the absence of failure; it is not a natural state, nor is it something that is bound to come to really smart people as long as they avoid the mistakes of, say, the Defense Department under McNamara or Rumsfeld.

Moreover, if we're looking for something of potential use to people who may be called on to practice foreign policy rather than write the odd op-ed, blog post, or even book about the subject, we might do well to communicate something of the American foreign policy tradition in its finest periods. That's one reason I commend Acheson's memoir, or even Henry Kissinger's somewhat less accessible books.

Incidentally, there is one other reason, which someone who has never worked for a politician may not appreciate. Politicians like to read things they can quote. The best ones enjoy coming up with quotes on their own from time to time. Acheson and Kissinger are both mines for that kind of thing, and though audiences would need to be reminded who Acheson was, Kissinger is still a recognizable name. That's not really true of any of the authors on Dan's list -- doesn't mean their books are not worthwhile, or that they are dopes, but we want aspiring statesmen to read the books we give them.

 

GWG

3:07 AM ET

May 5, 2011

A couple more suggestions...

I would add Graham Allison and Phillip Zelikow's Essence of Decision. Just an excellent, in-depth overview of the decision-making process from different angles.

I'd also add Yuen Foong Khong's Analogies at War, about the use of analogies in the Vietnam decision-making process. I confess to not having read Neustadt and May's book, despite being on my "to-do" list, and Khong's is probably more "technical," but I think it does a great job at thoroughly examining the way decision-makers use historical analogies and how that can have disastrous consequences. The study looks at three pertinent analogies - Munich, Korea, and Dien Bien Phu - and I couldn't help but think of the constant analogies to the USSR experience in the 1980s, Vietnam, and the first Gulf War that accompanied (or still do) the past decade's debacles in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Both of these are highly readable, and I think some of the more technical parts could be skipped without missing the core of the arguments.

 

JOHN HENNINGER

6:27 AM ET

May 5, 2011

My selections for politicians

"The Hawk and the Dove: Paul Nitze, George Kennan, and the History of the Cold War," by Nicholas Thompson

"Ideology and U.S. Foreign Policy,'' by Michael H. Hunt

"Planning A Tragedy: The Americanization of the War in Vietnam," by Larry Berman (for Democrats) and "Daydream Believers: How a Few Grand Ideas Wrecked American Power," by Fred Kaplan (for Republicans)

 

CNOL

9:06 PM ET

May 7, 2011

Thomas Schelling

To me Thoma Schelling's book Arms and Influence is seminal in understanding coercive diplomacy and such, and seems to describe pretty well how we've gotten to our current "world order" (although I get depressed whenever I read it, haha...). I'm still working through The Strategy of Conflict, seems more theoretical than Arms and Influence, so not sure if that's a good one to recommend to a "layman" senator, but I've always heard it's incredibly important.

 

BEEP

4:55 PM ET

May 10, 2011

Books for politicians

Did anyone mention Barbara Tuchman's book, "The March of Folly: From Troy to Vietnam: A meditation on the historical recurrence of governments pursuing policies evidently contrary to their own interests. Focuses on Troy, the Renaissance Popes provoking Protestantism, the British losing their American colonies, and the United States in Vietnam."? 1984
The title alone is worth it :)

 

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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