Posted By Daniel W. Drezner Share

I have a long essay in The Spectator (U.K.) on the state of foreign policy thinking among the GOP 2012 presidential candidates.  Here's me not pulling my punches:

During the 2008 US presidential election cycle, the respected journal Foreign Affairs invited the leading presidential candidates from both parties to outline their views of world politics. All of them responded with essays that, one presumes, they at least read if did not write. This year, ahead of next year’s elections, Foreign Affairs has proffered the same invitation to the leading Republican aspirants. To date, they have all refused or not responded. This parallels the trend of not talking about international affairs in their endless series of presidential debates: mentions of Afghanistan and Iraq are reported to be down 65 per cent from 2008.  

One could argue that these candidates are denying Americans an opportunity to understand their thinking about international relations. Having investigated the policy platforms of the Republican field, however, I have concluded that most of them have done Americans a huge favour. The Grand Old Party candidates’ current thinking on foreign affairs is a noxious mixture of cowardice, belligerence, ignorance — and, unfortunately, political savvy.  

Read the whole thing.  Two additional thoughts.

1) The Spectator left a few things on the cutting-room floow because of space constraints.  For example, the essay fails to mention Jon Hunstman.  In my original essay, he did get mentioned in a foootnote after I had slammed the field for the umpteenth time, explaining: 

To be fair, former U.S. ambassador to China Jon Huntsman has demonstrated a superior command of foreign policy issues.  He's also polling so badly that he failed to qualify for CNN's October 18 debate.  Tim Pawlenty was another candidate who bothered to address the Council on Foreign Relations on global matters; he withdrew from the race in August of this year.

The other thing that got excised was my point that foreign policy and national security used to be a very important compnent of presidential elections: 

[A]s an international relations specialist, I find the state of the state of the GOP foreign policy debate to be utterly depressing, but as a political scientist, I'm unsurprised.  Still, as an American citizen, this state of affairs is disconcerting on multiple levels.  We are not that far removed from elections in which foreign affairs and national security were the crucial issues in a campaign.  Gerald Ford sabotaged his 1976 campaign when he insisted that there was no Soviet domination of Eastern Europe.  Both Michael Dukakis and John Kerry doomed their campaigns by appearing weak and vacillating on national security. 

2)  I haven't overtly talked about my own personal political beliefs since the blog moved to FP, but this seems to be an appropriate time to bring it up and then never speak of it again.  When I've published essays like this before, I find liberals write "even conservative Dan Drezner..." while conservatives often deploy terms like "academic elitist" or "RINO." 

In my case, at this point in time,  I believe that last appellation to be entirely fair and accurate.  I'm not a Democrat, and I don't think I've become more liberal over time.  That said, three things have affected my political loyalties over the past few years.  First, I've become more uncertain about various dimensions of GOP ideology over time.  It's simply impossible for me to look at the aftermath of the 2003 invasion of Iraq and the 2008 financial crisis and not ponder the myriad ways in which my party has made some categorical errors in judgment.   So I'm a bigger fan of the politics of doubt during an era when doubt has been banished in political discourse. 

Second, the GOP has undeniably shifted further to the right over the past few years, and while I'm sympathetic to some of these shifts, most of it looks like a mutated version of "cargo cult science" directed at either Ludwig Von Mises or the U.S. Constitution (which, of course, is sacred and inviolate, unless conservatives want to amend it).  Sorry, I'm not embracing outdated concepts like the gold standard or repealing the 16th Amendment.  Not happening. 

Third, David Frum wrote something in New York Magazine that touches on the issues I just discussed, but also articlates something that has been nagging at me for a few years now: 

The conservative shift to ever more extreme, ever more fantasy-based ideology has ominous real-world consequences for American society. The American system of government can’t work if the two sides wage all-out war upon each other: House, Senate, president, each has the power to thwart the others. In prior generations, the system evolved norms and habits to prevent this kind of stonewalling. For example: Theoretically, the party that holds the Senate could refuse to confirm any Cabinet nominees of a president of the other party. Yet until recently, this just “wasn’t done.” In fact, quite a lot of things that theoretically could be done just “weren’t done.” Now old inhibitions have given way. Things that weren’t done suddenly are done.

Also, things that weren't said are now being said.  Or, to be more precise, things that use to be said but ignored are now being taken seroiusly by the GOP's leading lights.  Newt Gingrich endorses the notion that Obama has a "Kenyan, anti-colonial" worldview.  Mitt Romney claims Obama has been apologizing around the world and no longer believes in American exceptionalism.  Herman Cain is [Remember your mercy rule!!--ed.].... Herman Cain.  There's good, solid partisanship -- a vital necessity in this country -- and then there's unadulterated horses**t.  Too much of the GOP's rhetoric on Obama reads like the latter to me. 

So for those reasons, I really am a Republican in Name Only at this point.  And I say this for the GOP's benefit.  The next time someone writes, "even the Republican Dan Drezner has said...." GOP partisans should feel perfectly entitled to link to this post and call me a RINO.  Because it's true. 

 

UMESHGEETA

7:52 PM ET

November 27, 2011

You are right RINO!

I am a Democrat so has some glee in seeing Professor applying some 'sanity' in evaluation of current GOP. But even then, I admire Professor for being honest here and willing to receive stone pelting from Tea Party hacks.

The larger danger is obvious here - American System does not deliver when we have extreme partisan gridlock as like today. Unless this gridlock is broken, nothing worthwhile happens for Americans and they will continue to discount Washington.

President Obama failed miserably in avoiding temptations of Washington Politics in passing of ObamaCare. You cannot play backroom politics for its obvious advantages in legislating a policy and then come around to claim the mantle of 'changing Washington'. That simply does not happen and that is not credible.

The only way he can attempt to burnish his credibility for November 2012 mandate is - to declare full hand his exact policy agenda (including what Medicare cuts, what Tax changes and so on) and then go to Americans as a Parliamentarian Leader to seek full majority in Congress along with White House. There is no point for Obama simply admitting communication failure but not doing to undo the damage - why parliamentary majority is required in Congress to break today's hyper partisan gridlock politics.

Romeny or Gringrich or whosoever GOP nominee is, may be content to gloss over this issue and would portray that defeating Obama in itself is enough. That would be foolishness and it would mean American Politics will have to wait many more years to realize the futility of electing 'divided Congress'.

Divided Congress = further decline and downfall of America. So long as our Politics does not hammer this point in minds of America, more and more will become RINO; but with no positive end result for all of us.

 

JOHN THACKER

4:52 AM ET

November 28, 2011

Divided Congress is great!

I think that a divided Congress is much better than what we've gotten under unified Republican or Democratic governments.

I also think that much of what Congress does come together to do in a bipartisan fashion is terrible, stuff like SOPA, though there are occasional things like passing the trade deals when the President finally submitted them.

The past two years have easily had the best American governance since 2000.

 

A.S.

1:20 AM ET

November 28, 2011

Misleading Post

This post is highly misleading. Prof. Drezner is not a Republican, whether "in name only" or in any other manner. Anybody who endorsed and voted for Kerry and Obama, as Prof. Drezner did, is simply not a Republican.

Prof. Drezner is surely free to disagree with the policies of Republican candidates; that alone does not disqualify him from being a Republican. But consistently voting for Democrats over a sustained period of time? That certainly does disqualify him from properly calling himself a Republican. He might have appropriately called himself a Republican a decade ago, but the facts show that he is not now, and has not been for quite some time, a Republican.

Prof. Drezner should correct or remove this highly misleading post.

 

DNEXON

2:09 AM ET

November 28, 2011

Uh-huh

Is he registered Republican? If so, then he's a RINO.

Only a hyper-partisan believes that crossing over in two consecutive Presidential elections disqualifies someone from being a member of their party. I bet there are any number of Republicans Drezner would have voted for, even if he couldn't stomach a second Bush term or a McCain/Palin ticket.

I know plenty of Republicans who couldn't vote for a possible Palin presidency. It had something to do with basic sanity. At least we now know she might have quit midway through her term to pursue more lucrative media contracts.

 

GRANT

12:48 PM ET

November 28, 2011

You do realize a number of

You do realize a number of respected* Republican thinkers went across party lines to express support for Obama? Watching your party commit intellectual suicide can't be encouraging.

*Or at least they were respected when intellectuals mattered prior to 2000.

 

A.S.

3:04 PM ET

November 28, 2011

Haha

Gotta love the assertion of the importance of "intellectuals" by someone who can't even read and understand the words "Kerry and". To answer the response, no, any person who voted for Kerry and Obama cannot appropriately be called a Republican (regardless of technicalities like which box he checks on a voter registration card).

Also love the assertion that the Republican party has eschewed "intellectuals" since 2000. Because the party's standard-bearer, Ronald Reagan, was one of the most famous intellectuals in the world in the latter half of the 1900s! [/sarcasm]

 

GRANT

4:26 PM ET

November 28, 2011

To assert that if you dare

To assert that if you dare vote for someone from a different party it means you cannot be considered a member of your own party is not only ridiculous, it is a disturbing change in what is considered 'democratic'. After a period of being registered as an independent voter I* have chosen to register myself as a Democrat. Despite that in the most recent election I chose to vote for several Republican candidates for local positions, as well as several Democrats for other local positions. I am pleased to say that the two Republicans I supported the most won their elections. I didn't vote for them because I don't agree with their opponents, but because I felt that these two candidates were experienced and trustworthy without much far-right bias at a time when my county is facing budget problems that need calm leadership. I happen to know several commissioners and several others of lower office who run in every election on both the Republican and Democrat ticket. They do this because it's almost impossible to find someone who wants to run against them and because it is even less possible to find people to vote against them. As long as they can keep the system functioning no one in my county finds this objectionable. If the new American democracy requires you to vote solely on party grounds regardless of whether or not they are qualified then I want nothing to do with it.

*Partly because I have gotten sick of all the robo-calls that do nothing to make me want to support a candidate and partly because voting in Republican primaries is no longer the only way in my district to ensure sane candidates.

 

BLUE13326

6:27 PM ET

November 28, 2011

Let's not pretend that voting

Let's not pretend that voting for county commissioner is the same as voting for president, ok? That's just silly.

 

GRANT

7:44 PM ET

November 28, 2011

I don't think so. If the

I don't think so. If the Democrats had chosen a poor candidate and McCain hadn't gone with Palin he might very well have gotten my vote. I don't like him but I can accept him as president. I don't like Jon Huntsman too much, but if I felt that Obama had truly done a bad job I might vote for Huntsman. In 2000 (had I been old enough) I would have voted for McCain. It isn't my fault that the Republicans haven't been able to put up someone like the first George Bush as a serious candidate.

 

THECARDINAL

12:50 AM ET

November 30, 2011

Intellectuals and Republicans...

There is no doubt that there is currently an anti-intellectual bent to the conservative movement these days. Reagan may not have been an intellectual but when you read his radio addresses you are not only amazed by his grasp of detail but how far removed he is from Bachman/Cain/Palin/Perry, et al. In the 80's, when I grew up, the whole point of being of being a conservative was that we were the thinkers. National Review, WFB, Nisbet, Kirk...even Viguerie tried to come up with a manifesto.

As for Republicans voting for Obama, I don't know if I can blame them. I don't agree with about 85% of what he says or does but what do we have to offer? Romney? He's not a conservative, he's not a liberal. He sticks his finger in the wind and decides where to go. Gingrich? Gingrich was my boyhood idol (I have an autographed hardcover copy of the "The Window of Opportunity") but he was unstable as Speaker. How will markets, allies and foes react when he loses his s%*#? The rest of the pack is a joke. I voted for Paul in '88 but I was 19 and trying to make a point. Bachman and Cain are ignorant to the point of embarrassment. Santorum would make a great pastor but not prez. Huntsman, well Huntsman doesn't stand a chance.

I may not check off Obama when I vote, but I am certainly not going to vote for anyone in the GOP either.

 

JOHN THACKER

4:43 AM ET

November 28, 2011

Bizarre logic

"the U.S. Constitution (which, of course, is sacred and inviolate, unless conservatives want to amend it)"

This is a patently illogical statement. If you take the Constitution seriously, then if you want to do something that violates it or is questionable you attempt to amend it.

If you don't think that the Constitution means anything at all, or that it means whatever you want it to mean on a different day, then you don't bother trying to amend it, because why bother?

I think that Prohibition was a tragic and stupid mistake, but I give them credit for at least realizing that an amendment was necessary to do it.

Similarly, if idiots are going to try to lock up or kill American citizens without a trial, I'd at least prefer that they have the guts to propose a Constitutional amendment rather than the President just doing it.

 

JOHN THACKER

4:49 AM ET

November 28, 2011

*Only* someone who views the

*Only* someone who views the Constitution as sacred and inviolable, that must be followed by judges, would propose amendments. People who view the Constitution as merely being whatever judges say (which includes people on both sides) would concentrate, naturally, on simply making sure that the right judges are appointed.

Incidentally, my understanding of the meanings of the words is that you meant something closer to "inviolable" than "inviolate." The latter means "has not been violated" and most of the Constitution obsessed think that it has been repeatedly violated (because they personally don't agree with the SCOTUS rulings.)

 

BLUE13326

3:58 PM ET

November 28, 2011

As someone who has been

As someone who has been reading you since before you jumped to FP, you've drifted further to the left; I haven'tvoted for either party in some time (the last time I voted was for Gore as pres and Clinton for Senate), so that doesn't bother me. However, I have noticed a trend among any intellectuals who have made a similar journey and voted for Obama that instead of analyzing his failures (and by any objective measurement he has been both the most leftist president in some time and an utter failure in his domestic policies), and looking at the assumptions you made in supporting him, you hide behind this sneering contempt for conservatism. This may work at university cocktail parties, but it seems like classic displacement to me.

Anyway, I do wish you'd write more about economics. You and Megan at the Atlantic used to be a great combo read on those issues.

 

ROMANTIC HERETIC

12:11 AM ET

November 29, 2011

An outsider's perspective

As a Canadian I look at the GOP and I think of what Kissinger had to say about the Jacobins in 'A World Restored'. The GOP now strike me as revolutionaries.

It seems to me, like the Jacobins, they do not accept the legitimacy of the current system. They mean to overthrow it and replace it with one closer to their ideology. An ideology that on the surface appears to include 'Liberty, Equality and Brotherhood', but in actuality it will be a system where 'some animals are more equal than others.'

So it's no surprise that they say little about foreign policy. That isn't their concern at this time. Currently the GOP is most concerned with getting the power they need to remake America into a new country.

Then it will be the rest of the world's turn.

 

SAINTIGEL

5:38 PM ET

November 29, 2011

Party time! Excellent!

The US needs a centrist third party that accurately represents the views of the majority of Americans. Halfway between the elephant and the donkey- the rhino. I'll be making buttons shortly. I'll also be running in 2020 for president. Just a heads up.

 

JERRYCLARK51

9:16 PM ET

November 29, 2011

Dan & RINOs....

Thanks for an article that confirms exactly how I and my wife feel about what's going on in the GOP now; we voted Democratic for the first time in 2008.....the thought of Palin actually assuming the presidency was too much....we had hoped there would be a strong GOP candidate in 2012 but alas there isn't a one in the current bunch with the exception of Jon Huntsman and it appears he's not acceptable to the extremists running the party. The current President is not nearly as leftist as most extremists claim he is and we can live with his policies until the GOP wakes up to the reality of who actually lives in this country. Keep up the good work and your fine analysis.

 

DRAGONLADY

12:41 AM ET

December 4, 2011

Check out Ross Douthat's article on Huntsman

Just speaking as a member of the extreme GOP base, I would have given Huntsman a look had he not shown us such contempt right off the bat.

As far as living with this President's policies, good luck to all those on Medicare when the IPAB kicks in.

 

ZT

8:00 PM ET

November 30, 2011

Huntsman

Dan, I'd vote for you in 2016 or 2020. In the meantime, try to bring more attention to Huntsman. You mention his low poll numbers but that's because most Americans haven't heard of him. He's building some momentum in New Hampshire, and if he pulls off a good showing he could win.

 

KUNINO

11:13 PM ET

December 2, 2011

Dear Dan who makes Foreign Affair respected ...

... always an honor to read you. Mr Frum, quoted here, is the former helot of a president who couldn't name the non-Reiublican party -- he had a three-syllable limit on trying -- and was author of the dramatic, scary and meaningless "axis of evil." Mrs Frum in an excited way was ringing all her friends to tell them it was her David who'd come up with the gem. Frum himself, and some successors as presidential speechwriters seem to have developed mistrust or contempt for the boss: Frum himself says Mr Bush was saying things while never understanding them..

The current Republican campaign seems marked by a most startling innovation: several of the candidates have either formally announced or played cat-and-mouse (as with Mrs Palin) about it. All raise money to help them win. But few seem to have employed and equipped the force they need to win. This causes me to wonder whether they're taking in public money and not spending it as their donors expect.

Whatever happened to the money fed in large amounts into SarahPAC? Why is nobody answering the question publicly? I doubt that all of it was spent on paintring that bus. Are donated funds being used for personal enjoyment or business opportunity?

 

DRAGONLADY

12:28 AM ET

December 4, 2011

dragonlady

"The conservative shift to ever more extreme, ever more fantasy-based ideology has ominous real-world consequences for American society."

Puluzee. What's extreme is a President and party determined to pass an enormous entitlement program on a party-line vote, not respecting Senate tradition of 60 votes, despite the fact that a pretty blue state turned Ted Kennedy's seat over to a Republican to stop them from passing Obamacare.

What's extreme is Harry Reid using the nuclear option to prevent a vote on Obama's own jobs bill.

Plenty of blame to go around for dysfunction in DC, but lately it's been due to a massive failure of leadership. Obama is not serious at all about working with the GOP. He invites Paul Ryan who put forth serious entitlement reform proposals to his speech, and then insults him publicly to his face. Where has he been for the Supercommittee negotiations? He's too busy setting up the GOP as a foil for his campaign. That's what this country gets voting for a guy with little executive experience, who's voted present all his adult life.

But whatever, keep up the "those Republicans sure are crazy and extreme" narrative. It gets Frum attention from the MSM.

 

Daniel W. Drezner is professor of international politics at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University.

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